AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has a slight edge over KPLT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
KPLT
Katapult Holdings, Inc.
KPLT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
KPLT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
KPLT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
KPLT PE Valuation
KPLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
KPLT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect KPLT's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
KPLT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus KPLT down 102%.
KPLT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -$0.11 | +$5.85 |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.97 | +$1.33 |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.08 | -$1.12 |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.06 | -$1.14 |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.96 | +$2.08 |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.30 | +$0.98 |
| Q2 2024 | -$5.96 | +$3.61 |
| Q1 2024 | -$5.92 | +$4.58 |
KPLT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.11 per share over the past year, against $10.50 at its worst in early 2023.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over KPLT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over KPLT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
KPLT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $74.8M | +4% |
| Q1 2026 | $79M | +9.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $73.9M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $74M | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $71.9M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $71.9M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $63M | +9.4% |
| Q3 2024 | $60.3M | +9.2% |
KPLT's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $75M last quarter, up 4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.6% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.5% | +6.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.4% | +6.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.3% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -7.7% | +11 points |
| Q3 2024 | -7.4% | -8.6 points |
KPLT's operating margin was −2.6% last quarter, down 0.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
KPLT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.1M | +$539K |
| Q1 2026 | $12.2M | +257% |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.7M | +$15.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $4M | +$9.4M |
| Q2 2025 | -$6.6M | -$6M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.4M | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | -$28.5M | -$18.8M |
| Q3 2024 | -$5.4M | -762% |
KPLT has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
KPLT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.2% | +464K shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +873K shares |
| 3 years | +38% | +1.5M shares |
| 5 years | +1480% | +5.1M shares |
KPLT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
KPLT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
KPLT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
KPLT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.2 | Neutral |
KPLT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
KPLT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | KPLT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
KPLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
KPLT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.27 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.27 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $6.92 | 18% above |
| 100 week MA | $8.72 | 6.4% below |
| 200 week MA | $11.3 | 28% below |
KPLT has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over KPLT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
KPLT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $245.3 | $348.8 | +42% |
| 2021 | $348.8 | $83.0 | -76% |
| 2022 | $83.0 | $21.0 | -75% |
| 2023 | $21.0 | $10.9 | -48% |
| 2024 | $10.9 | $5.81 | -47% |
| 2025 | $5.81 | $6.85 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.85 | $8.16 | +19% |
KPLT has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 19% so far in 2026.