AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

KOPN

Kopin Corporation

62
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

KOPN has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KOPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

KOPN's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

KOPN PE Valuation

KOPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KOPN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for KOPN to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KOPN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KOPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$6.30
Downside-46%$1.84

Calculated from the latest close: $3.39 on Nov 12.

KOPN trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

KOPN has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus KOPN down 100%.

KOPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.18Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.40Q3 2024: $-0.41Q4 2025: $0.01Q1 2026: $0.01Q2 2026: $0.04Q3 2026: $0.00
Q4 2023: $-0.18Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.40Q3 2024: $-0.41Q4 2025: $0.01Q1 2026: $0.01Q2 2026: $0.04Q3 2026: $0.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2024-$0.41-$0.22
Q2 2024-$0.40-$0.16
Q1 2024-$0.42-$0.19
Q4 2023-$0.18+$0.04
Q3 2023-$0.19$0.00
Q2 2023-$0.24-$0.10
Q1 2023-$0.23-$0.11
Q4 2022-$0.22-$0.07

KOPN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.00 per share over the past year, against $0.42 at its worst in early 2024.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $270M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.

KOPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $129,915Q1 2024: $207,310Q2 2024: $234,323Q3 2024: $205,984Q4 2024: $396,720Q1 2025: $519,847Q2 2025: $300,200Q3 2025: $70,124Q4 2025: $640,140Q1 2026: $411,378Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $18M
Q4 2023: $129,915Q1 2024: $207,310Q2 2024: $234,323Q3 2024: $205,984Q4 2024: $396,720Q1 2025: $519,847Q2 2025: $300,200Q3 2025: $70,124Q4 2025: $640,140Q1 2026: $411,378Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $18M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.2M+25840%
Q2 2026$1.3M+323%
Q1 2026$411.4K-21%
Q4 2025$640.1K+61%
Q3 2025$70.1K-66%
Q2 2025$300.2K+28%
Q1 2025$519.8K+151%
Q4 2024$396.7K+205%

KOPN's revenue is growing: $18M last quarter, up 25840% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

KOPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$217,046Q4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$217,046Q4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1M+$1.3M
Q2 2026-$8.1M-$3.3M
Q1 2026-$2.1M+$1.8M
Q4 2025-$8M-$5.9M
Q3 2025-$217K+$6.2M
Q2 2025-$4.9M-$1.7M
Q1 2025-$3.9M-$562.3K
Q4 2024-$2.1M+$1.9M

KOPN has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

KOPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 166MQ2 2025: 166MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 175MQ1 2026: 187MQ2 2026: 192MQ3 2026: 190M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 166MQ2 2025: 166MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 175MQ1 2026: 187MQ2 2026: 192MQ3 2026: 190M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-1.9M shares
1 year+12%+20.8M shares
3 years+72%+79.9M shares
5 years+110%+99.7M shares
Available history+132%+108M shares

KOPN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KOPN Net Leverage

KOPN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

KOPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.6Neutral
Stochastic22.0Neutral

KOPN's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KOPN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKOPNSector medianRelative
PE76x28x172% above
PE %03535 pts below

KOPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

KOPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.9113% below
20 week MA$4.1418% below
50 week MA$3.626.4% below
100 week MA$2.7324% above
200 week MA$2.0466% above

KOPN has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

KOPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$0.42$2.76+557%
2021$2.76$4.34+57%
2022$4.34$1.11-74%
2023$1.11$2.03+83%
2024$2.03$1.39-32%
2025$1.39$2.38+71%
2026 YTD$2.38$3.39+42%

KOPN has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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