AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

KN

Knowles Corporation

68
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

KN has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable
Strong

KN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

KN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE80x159x239x319x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE80x159x239x319x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$15.29-55%
Forward21x$33.99—
Fair35x$28.13-17%
Current42x$33.99—
Expensive68x$55.04+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KN's PE is in its fair range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for KN, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails KN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$48.49
Downside-13%$29.60

Calculated from the latest close: $33.99 on Nov 12.

KN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

KN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.88Q2 2024: $-2.17Q3 2024: $-2.34Q4 2024: $-2.64Q1 2025: $-2.69Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.49Q4 2025: $0.50Q1 2026: $0.63Q2 2026: $0.76Q3 2026: $0.81Forward: $1.63
Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.88Q2 2024: $-2.17Q3 2024: $-2.34Q4 2024: $-2.64Q1 2025: $-2.69Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.49Q4 2025: $0.50Q1 2026: $0.63Q2 2026: $0.76Q3 2026: $0.81Forward: $1.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.63+102%
Q3 2026$0.81+65%
Q2 2026$0.76+153%
Q1 2026$0.63+$3.32
Q4 2025$0.50+$3.14
Q3 2025$0.49+$2.83
Q2 2025$0.30+$2.47
Q1 2025-$2.69-406%
Q4 2024-$2.64-434%

KN has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over KN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $196MQ2 2024: $205MQ3 2024: $143MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $132MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $162MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $167MQ3 2026: $184M
Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $196MQ2 2024: $205MQ3 2024: $143MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $132MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $162MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $167MQ3 2026: $184M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$184M+20%
Q2 2026$166.8M+14%
Q1 2026$153.1M+16%
Q4 2025$162.2M+14%
Q3 2025$152.9M+7.3%
Q2 2025$145.9M-29%
Q1 2025$132.2M-33%
Q4 2024$142.5M-34%

KN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $184M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

KN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $49MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $37M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $49MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $37M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.3M+74%
Q2 2026$21.7M-31%
Q1 2026-$11.5M-$8.8M
Q3 2025$21.4M-56%
Q2 2025$31.3M+44%
Q1 2025-$2.7M-119%
Q3 2024$49.1M+36%
Q2 2024$21.7M+$25.2M

KN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $69M over the past year.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

KN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 89MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 90MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 88MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 89MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 90MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 88MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-200K shares
1 year+0.5%+400K shares
3 years-4%-3.7M shares
5 years-6.8%-6.4M shares
Available history-6.1%-5.7M shares

KN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20241.6xHealthy
Q4 20232.4xModerate

KN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

KN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.3Neutral
Stochastic20.7Neutral

KN's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKNSector medianRelative
PE42x28x51% above
PE %533518 pts above

KN is trading at 42x earnings, a 51% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

KN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.92.5% below
20 week MA$35.84.9% below
50 week MA$31.67.5% above
100 week MA$25.434% above
200 week MA$21.161% above

KN has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

KN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.9$18.0-14%
2021$18.0$22.7+26%
2022$22.7$16.3-28%
2023$16.3$17.9+10%
2024$17.9$20.0+12%
2025$20.0$21.9+9.6%
2026 YTD$21.9$34.0+55%

KN has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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