AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

KC

Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited

61
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

KC has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Strong

KC's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

KC PE Valuation

KC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect KC's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$11.79
Downside-33%$5.27

Calculated from the latest close: $7.86 on Nov 12.

KC trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

KC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.23Q4 2023: $-1.38Q1 2024: $-1.22Q2 2024: $-1.12Q3 2024: $-1.27Q4 2024: $-1.21Q1 2025: $-1.18Q2 2025: $-1.23Q3 2025: $-0.58Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.53Q2 2026: $-0.31
Q3 2023: $-1.23Q4 2023: $-1.38Q1 2024: $-1.22Q2 2024: $-1.12Q3 2024: $-1.27Q4 2024: $-1.21Q1 2025: $-1.18Q2 2025: $-1.23Q3 2025: $-0.58Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.53Q2 2026: $-0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.31+$0.92
Q1 2026-$0.53+$0.65
Q4 2025-$0.54+$0.67
Q3 2025-$0.58+$0.69
Q2 2025-$1.23-$0.11
Q1 2025-$1.18+$0.04
Q4 2024-$1.21+$0.17
Q3 2024-$1.27-$0.04

KC has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over KC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

KC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $244MQ4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $266MQ2 2024: $284MQ3 2024: $283MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $296MQ2 2025: $353MQ3 2025: $372MQ4 2025: $414MQ1 2026: $406MQ2 2026: $460M
Q3 2023: $244MQ4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $266MQ2 2024: $284MQ3 2024: $283MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $296MQ2 2025: $353MQ3 2025: $372MQ4 2025: $414MQ1 2026: $406MQ2 2026: $460M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$459.7M+30%
Q1 2026$405.8M+37%
Q4 2025$414.4M+24%
Q3 2025$371.9M+31%
Q2 2025$352.6M+24%
Q1 2025$295.6M+11%
Q4 2024$335M+30%
Q3 2024$283M+16%

KC's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $460M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

KC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: −$291MQ1 2024: −$48MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$63MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $258MQ4 2025: −$555MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $428M
Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: −$291MQ1 2024: −$48MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$63MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $258MQ4 2025: −$555MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $428M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$427.8M+95%
Q1 2026$80.1M+$142.9M
Q4 2025-$555.2M-749%
Q3 2025$257.6M+652%
Q2 2025$219.1M+866%
Q1 2025-$62.8M-$14.6M
Q4 2024$85.6M+$377M
Q3 2024$34.3M+1021%

KC has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

KC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 239MQ4 2023: 239MQ1 2024: 242MQ2 2024: 245MQ3 2024: 245MQ4 2024: 249MQ1 2025: 249MQ2 2025: 249MQ3 2025: 276MQ4 2025: 303MQ1 2026: 304MQ2 2026: 300M
Q3 2023: 239MQ4 2023: 239MQ1 2024: 242MQ2 2024: 245MQ3 2024: 245MQ4 2024: 249MQ1 2025: 249MQ2 2025: 249MQ3 2025: 276MQ4 2025: 303MQ1 2026: 304MQ2 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.6M shares
1 year+21%+51.6M shares
3 years+26%+62.4M shares
5 years+34%+75.6M shares
Available history+401%+240M shares

KC has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KC Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low

KC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

KC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

KC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KC PE vs Technology Sector

KC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over KC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

KC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.638.9% below
20 week MA$9.7920% below
50 week MA$11.733% below
100 week MA$12.738% below
200 week MA$8.487.3% below

KC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 7.3% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over KC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

KC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.8$45.3+90%
2021$45.3$15.5-66%
2022$15.5$3.45-78%
2023$3.45$3.78+9.6%
2024$3.78$12.6+233%
2025$12.6$10.7-15%
2026 YTD$10.7$7.86-27%

KC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +233% in 2024 to −78% in 2022. It's down 27% so far in 2026.

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