AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JKHY
Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.
JKHY has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
JKHY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
JKHY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
JKHY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $176 | — |
| Current | 24x | $176 | — |
| Cheap | 28x | $201 | +14% |
| Fair | 34x | $250 | +42% |
| Expensive | 42x | $303 | +72% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JKHY's PE is in its cheap range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
JKHY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JKHY, with profitability improving.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
JKHY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.57 | +3.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.29 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.98 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.15 | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.96 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.58 | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.24 | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.88 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.55 | +8.6% |
JKHY has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over JKHY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
JKHY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $701.5M | +8.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $644M | +4.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $636.2M | +8.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $619.3M | +7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $644.7M | +7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $615.4M | +9.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $585.1M | +8.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $573.8M | +5.2% |
JKHY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $702M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | +1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | -4.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 24% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +4.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 29% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | -0.4 points |
JKHY has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
JKHY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $134.3M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $282.2M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $169.5M | +76% |
| Q4 2025 | $131.4M | +80% |
| Q3 2025 | $111.7M | +7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $314.9M | +51% |
| Q1 2025 | $96.1M | +9.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $73M | +13% |
JKHY has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
JKHY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.5% | -1.8M shares |
| 1 year | -3.6% | -2.6M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -2.8M shares |
| 5 years | -5.2% | -3.9M shares |
| Available history | -8.7% | -6.7M shares |
JKHY has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $70.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $163.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $159.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $63.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $62M |
| Q2 2025 | $1,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $18M |
| Q4 2024 | $17.1M |
JKHY spent $457M buying back its own shares over the past year, about five times what it spent the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
JKHY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
JKHY's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
JKHY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.3 | Neutral |
JKHY's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JKHY PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | JKHY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 28x | 13% below |
| PE % | 11 | 35 | 24 pts below |
JKHY is trading at 24x earnings, a 13% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
JKHY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $158.3 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $157.3 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $159.2 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $164.7 | 6.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $164.8 | 6.8% above |
JKHY has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over JKHY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
JKHY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $146.6 | $157.7 | +7.6% |
| 2021 | $157.7 | $165.4 | +4.9% |
| 2022 | $165.4 | $177.3 | +7.2% |
| 2023 | $177.3 | $163.4 | -7.9% |
| 2024 | $163.4 | $176.9 | +8.2% |
| 2025 | $176.9 | $186.1 | +5.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $186.1 | $176.0 | -5.4% |
JKHY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 5.4% so far in 2026.