AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ITRN

Ituran Location and Control Ltd.

66
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ITRN has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ITRN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

ITRN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ITRN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x80x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x80x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$36.54-26%
Forward12x$49.12—
Fair14x$44.85-8.7%
Current15x$49.12—
Expensive18x$59.34+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ITRN's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ITRN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ITRN, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ITRN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ITRN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$62.83
Downside-12%$43.10

Calculated from the latest close: $49.12 on Nov 12.

ITRN trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

ITRN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.27Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $2.50Q2 2024: $2.55Q3 2024: $2.61Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.78Q2 2025: $2.80Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.92Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $3.24Forward: $3.93
Q3 2023: $2.27Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $2.50Q2 2024: $2.55Q3 2024: $2.61Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.78Q2 2025: $2.80Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.92Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $3.24Forward: $3.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.93+21%
Q2 2026$3.24+16%
Q1 2026$3.04+9.4%
Q4 2025$2.92+7.7%
Q3 2025$2.85+9.2%
Q2 2025$2.80+9.8%
Q1 2025$2.78+11%
Q4 2024$2.71+13%
Q3 2024$2.61+15%

ITRN has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over ITRN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ITRN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $85MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $86MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $105M
Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $85MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $86MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $105M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$104.8M+21%
Q1 2026$102.7M+19%
Q4 2025$93.5M+13%
Q3 2025$92.3M+11%
Q2 2025$86.8M+2.3%
Q1 2025$86.5M+1.7%
Q4 2024$82.9M+6.5%
Q3 2024$83.5M+3%

ITRN's revenue has grown year over year for 21 quarters in a row: $105M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

ITRN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $17MQ4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $26M
Q3 2023: $17MQ4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$25.6M+49%
Q1 2026$12.9M+46%
Q4 2025$26.9M+48%
Q3 2025$17.8M+24%
Q2 2025$17.2M-13%
Q1 2025$8.8M+7%
Q4 2024$18.2M+2.7%
Q3 2024$14.4M-13%

ITRN has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

ITRN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 20MQ4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20M
Q3 2023: 20MQ4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-35K shares
1 year-0.6%-121K shares
3 years-1.7%-345K shares
5 years-5%-1M shares
Available history-6%-1.3M shares

ITRN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ITRN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.4xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9x
Q3 2023: -0.4xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ITRN has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ITRN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.3Neutral
Stochastic19.4Oversold

ITRN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ITRN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricITRNSector medianRelative
PE15x28x46% below
PE %643529 pts above

ITRN is trading at 15x earnings, a 46% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

ITRN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$51.03.7% below
20 week MA$52.56.5% below
50 week MA$52.15.8% below
100 week MA$44.311% above
200 week MA$35.140% above

ITRN has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over ITRN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ITRN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.0$19.0-24%
2021$19.0$26.0+37%
2022$26.0$21.5-17%
2023$21.5$27.2+27%
2024$27.2$30.3+11%
2025$30.3$43.4+43%
2026 YTD$43.4$49.1+13%

ITRN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 13% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key