AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

IONQ

IonQ, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score IONQ yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

IONQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Unavailable

IONQ's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

IONQ PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Current33x$30.86โ€”
Cheap86x$80.61+161%
Fair126x$119+285%
Expensive147x$138+349%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IONQ's PE is 33x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IONQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IONQ's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and IONQ's risk to reward.

IONQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $30.86 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and IONQ's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

IONQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.78Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-1.56Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-5.37Q4 2025: $-1.82Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $-3.99Q3 2026: $0.94
Q4 2023: $-0.78Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-1.56Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-5.37Q4 2025: $-1.82Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $-3.99Q3 2026: $0.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.94+$6.31
Q2 2026-$3.99-$1.96
Q1 2026$0.39+$1.90
Q4 2025-$1.82-$0.26
Q3 2025-$5.37-$4.56
Q2 2025-$2.03-$1.24
Q1 2025-$1.51-$0.68
Q4 2024-$1.56-$0.78

IONQ has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $270M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.

IONQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $174M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$173.8M+336%
Q2 2026$80.1M+287%
Q1 2026$64.7M+755%
Q4 2025$61.9M+429%
Q3 2025$39.9M+222%
Q2 2025$20.7M+82%
Q1 2025$7.6M-0.2%
Q4 2024$11.7M+92%

IONQ's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $174M last quarter, up 336% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

IONQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$34MQ1 2024: โˆ’$24MQ2 2024: โˆ’$34MQ3 2024: โˆ’$23MQ4 2024: โˆ’$43MQ1 2025: โˆ’$35MQ2 2025: โˆ’$54MQ3 2025: โˆ’$127MQ4 2025: โˆ’$83MQ1 2026: โˆ’$159MQ2 2026: โˆ’$114MQ3 2026: โˆ’$332M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$34MQ1 2024: โˆ’$24MQ2 2024: โˆ’$34MQ3 2024: โˆ’$23MQ4 2024: โˆ’$43MQ1 2025: โˆ’$35MQ2 2025: โˆ’$54MQ3 2025: โˆ’$127MQ4 2025: โˆ’$83MQ1 2026: โˆ’$159MQ2 2026: โˆ’$114MQ3 2026: โˆ’$332M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$331.9M-$204.7M
Q2 2026-$114M-$60.2M
Q1 2026-$159.4M-$124.1M
Q4 2025-$83.3M-$40.3M
Q3 2025-$127.2M-$104.2M
Q2 2025-$53.8M-$19.7M
Q1 2025-$35.3M-$11.7M
Q4 2024-$43M-$9.2M

IONQ has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$689M over the past year, against โˆ’$259M the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over IONQ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IONQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 371MQ2 2026: 368MQ3 2026: 401M
Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 371MQ2 2026: 368MQ3 2026: 401M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9%+33.2M shares
1 year+60%+150M shares
3 years+99%+199M shares
5 years+108%+208M shares

IONQ has 401M diluted shares, up 60% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

IONQ Net Leverage

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

IONQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic22.3Neutral

IONQ's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IONQ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIONQSector medianRelative
PE33x28x18% above

IONQ is trading at 33x earnings, a 18% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

IONQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.713% below
20 week MA$38.620% below
50 week MA$42.427% below
100 week MA$42.227% below
200 week MA$26.815% above

IONQ has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 15% above its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over IONQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IONQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$11.0$17.9+62%
2022$17.9$3.30-82%
2023$3.30$12.4+275%
2024$12.4$45.5+267%
2025$45.5$46.0+1.1%
2026 YTD$46.0$30.9-33%

IONQ's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to โˆ’82% in 2022. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

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