AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

INTU

Intuit Inc.

78
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

INTU has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

INTU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

INTU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

INTU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x47x71x94x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x47x71x94x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$340—
Current21x$340—
Cheap44x$719+111%
Fair58x$951+180%
Expensive64x$1,061+212%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

INTU's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over INTU on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

INTU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTU, but weaker profitability.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$455.18
Downside-16%$286.60

Calculated from the latest close: $340.17 on Nov 12.

INTU trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

INTU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.13Q1 2024: $9.78Q2 2024: $10.82Q3 2024: $10.43Q4 2024: $10.28Q1 2025: $10.70Q2 2025: $12.30Q3 2025: $13.67Q4 2025: $14.56Q1 2026: $15.37Q2 2026: $16.44Q3 2026: $16.46Forward: $23.72
Q4 2023: $9.13Q1 2024: $9.78Q2 2024: $10.82Q3 2024: $10.43Q4 2024: $10.28Q1 2025: $10.70Q2 2025: $12.30Q3 2025: $13.67Q4 2025: $14.56Q1 2026: $15.37Q2 2026: $16.44Q3 2026: $16.46Forward: $23.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$23.72+44%
Q3 2026$16.46+20%
Q2 2026$16.44+34%
Q1 2026$15.37+44%
Q4 2025$14.56+42%
Q3 2025$13.67+31%
Q2 2025$12.30+14%
Q1 2025$10.70+9.4%
Q4 2024$10.28+13%

INTU has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over INTU on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

INTU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $6.7BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $7.8BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.7BQ2 2026: $8.6BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $6.7BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $7.8BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.7BQ2 2026: $8.6BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B+14%
Q2 2026$8.6B+10%
Q1 2026$4.7B+17%
Q4 2025$3.9B+18%
Q3 2025$3.8B+20%
Q2 2025$7.8B+15%
Q1 2025$4B+17%
Q4 2024$3.3B+10%

INTU's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $4.4B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

INTU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$181MQ1 2024: $550MQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $434MQ4 2024: $329MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $396MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: −$181MQ1 2024: $550MQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $434MQ4 2024: $329MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $396MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+229%
Q2 2026$5.2B+20%
Q1 2026$1.5B+47%
Q4 2025$599M+82%
Q3 2025$396M-8.8%
Q2 2025$4.4B+12%
Q1 2025$1B+89%
Q4 2024$329M+$510M

INTU has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

INTU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 283MQ1 2024: 284MQ2 2024: 284MQ3 2024: 284MQ4 2024: 283MQ1 2025: 283MQ2 2025: 282MQ3 2025: 283MQ4 2025: 281MQ1 2026: 280MQ2 2026: 276MQ3 2026: 277M
Q4 2023: 283MQ1 2024: 284MQ2 2024: 284MQ3 2024: 284MQ4 2024: 283MQ1 2025: 283MQ2 2025: 282MQ3 2025: 283MQ4 2025: 281MQ1 2026: 280MQ2 2026: 276MQ3 2026: 277M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1M shares
1 year-2.1%-6M shares
3 years-2.1%-6M shares
5 years+1.5%+4M shares
Available history+4.9%+13M shares

INTU has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

INTU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

INTU's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

INTU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.2Neutral
Stochastic71.0Neutral

INTU's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTUSector medianRelative
PE21x28x26% below
PE %53530 pts below

INTU is trading at 21x earnings, a 26% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

INTU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$318.96.7% above
20 week MA$317.97% above
50 week MA$397.414% below
100 week MA$531.036% below
200 week MA$544.438% below

INTU has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over INTU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

INTU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$267.1$381.2+43%
2021$381.2$635.7+67%
2022$635.7$384.5-40%
2023$384.5$625.0+63%
2024$625.0$638.6+2.2%
2025$638.6$676.6+5.9%
2026 YTD$676.6$340.2-50%

INTU is down 50% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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