AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
INGM
Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
INGM has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
INGM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
INGM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
INGM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 7.6x | $28.77 | — |
| Current | 14x | $28.77 | — |
| Cheap | 15x | $30.53 | +6.1% |
| Fair | 17x | $33.53 | +17% |
| Expensive | 18x | $36.54 | +27% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
INGM's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.6x next year's earnings.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over INGM on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
INGM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INGM, with profitability holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
INGM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.77 | +89% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.99 | +62% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.84 | +59% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.52 | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.39 | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.23 | -10% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.16 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.23 | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.15 | -23% |
INGM has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over INGM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
INGM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $15.2B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.5B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $14B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.9B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.6B | +7.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.8B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.3B | +8.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.3B | +2.5% |
INGM's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $15.2B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6% | 0 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1% | +0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9% | -0.7 points |
INGM has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
INGM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $211.2M | +$386.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$566.1M | -$233M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1B | -$784M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +456% |
| Q2 2025 | -$333.2M | -191% |
| Q1 2025 | -$230.2M | -$94.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $273.9M | +$311.4M |
| Q2 2024 | $368.1M | +363% |
INGM has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
INGM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -459K shares |
| 1 year | -1.6% | -3.8M shares |
| 3 years | -1.3% | -3.1M shares |
| 5 years | -1.3% | -3.1M shares |
| Available history | -1.3% | -3.1M shares |
INGM has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17M |
| Q2 2026 | $30M |
| Q1 2026 | $75M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
INGM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
INGM's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
INGM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.3 | Neutral |
INGM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INGM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INGM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 28x | 48% below |
| PE % | 6 | 22 | 16 pts below |
INGM is trading at 14x earnings, a 48% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
INGM has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus INGM above 4 of 4.
INGM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $27.5 | 4.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $27.9 | 3.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $25.8 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $23.0 | 25% above |
INGM is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 25% above its 100-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over INGM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
INGM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $24.3 | $19.6 | -19% |
| 2025 | $19.6 | $22.1 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $22.1 | $28.8 | +30% |
INGM is up 30% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in one of the previous two years.