AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

INFY

Infosys Limited

67
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

INFY has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

INFY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

INFY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

INFY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current15x$12.29—
Cheap19x$15.68+28%
Fair25x$20.29+65%
Expensive31x$25.44+107%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

INFY's PE is in its cheap range at 15x.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over INFY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

INFY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect INFY's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INFY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INFY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$14.92
Downside-17%$10.25

Calculated from the latest close: $12.29 on Nov 12.

INFY trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

INFY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.71Q1 2024: $0.76Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.78Q4 2024: $0.79Q1 2025: $0.76Q2 2025: $0.77Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.77Q1 2026: $0.80Q2 2026: $0.81Q3 2026: $0.81
Q4 2023: $0.71Q1 2024: $0.76Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.78Q4 2024: $0.79Q1 2025: $0.76Q2 2025: $0.77Q3 2025: $0.78Q4 2025: $0.77Q1 2026: $0.80Q2 2026: $0.81Q3 2026: $0.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.81+3.8%
Q2 2026$0.81+5.2%
Q1 2026$0.80+5.3%
Q4 2025$0.77-2.5%
Q3 2025$0.780%
Q2 2025$0.770%
Q1 2025$0.760%
Q4 2024$0.79+11%

INFY has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over INFY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

INFY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $4.6BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4.9BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $5.1BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.1BQ3 2026: $5.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $4.6BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4.9BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $5.1BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.1BQ3 2026: $5.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.2B+1.5%
Q2 2026$5.1B+2.9%
Q1 2026$5B+6.6%
Q4 2025$5.1B+3.2%
Q3 2025$5.1B+3.7%
Q2 2025$4.9B+4.8%
Q1 2025$4.7B+3.6%
Q4 2024$4.9B+5.9%

INFY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $5.2B last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

INFY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $665MQ1 2024: $848MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $866MQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $892MQ2 2025: $884MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $915MQ1 2026: $833MQ2 2026: $970MQ3 2026: $947M
Q4 2023: $665MQ1 2024: $848MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $866MQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $892MQ2 2025: $884MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $915MQ1 2026: $833MQ2 2026: $970MQ3 2026: $947M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$947.4M-14%
Q2 2026$970M+9.7%
Q1 2026$833M-6.6%
Q4 2025$915M-29%
Q3 2025$1.1B+27%
Q2 2025$884M-19%
Q1 2025$892M+5.2%
Q4 2024$1.3B+95%

INFY has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

INFY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.1BQ1 2024: 4.1BQ2 2024: 4.1BQ3 2024: 4.1BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.1BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.1BQ1 2026: 4BQ2 2026: 4.1BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4.1BQ1 2024: 4.1BQ2 2024: 4.1BQ3 2024: 4.1BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.1BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.1BQ1 2026: 4BQ2 2026: 4.1BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-40.7M shares
1 year-4.8%-204M shares
3 years-2.1%-88.5M shares
5 years-6%-257M shares
Available history-2.9%-119M shares

INFY has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

INFY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

INFY has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

INFY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.7Neutral
Stochastic73.2Neutral

INFY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INFY PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINFYSector medianRelative
PE15x28x46% below
PE %63529 pts below

INFY is trading at 15x earnings, a 46% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

INFY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.84.3% above
20 week MA$11.75.4% above
50 week MA$13.59% below
100 week MA$15.923% below
200 week MA$17.329% below

INFY has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over INFY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

INFY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.3$16.6+62%
2021$16.6$24.7+49%
2022$24.7$17.9-28%
2023$17.9$18.4+2.6%
2024$18.4$22.5+22%
2025$22.5$18.8-16%
2026 YTD$18.8$12.3-35%

INFY is down 35% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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