AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over INDI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
INDI
indie Semiconductor, Inc.
INDI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
INDI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
INDI's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
INDI PE Valuation
INDI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
INDI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect INDI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
INDI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.72 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.73 | +$0.11 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.76 | -$0.01 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.73 | +$0.03 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.75 | -$0.12 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.84 | -$0.37 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.75 | -$0.30 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.76 | +$0.05 |
INDI is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $1.29 at its worst in late 2021.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over INDI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over INDI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
INDI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $70.2M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $64M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $55.5M | +2.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $58M | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $53.7M | -0.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $51.6M | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $54.1M | +3.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $58M | -17% |
INDI's revenue is growing: $70M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -56% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -55% | +29 points |
| Q1 2026 | -70% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -59% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -71% | +21 points |
| Q2 2025 | -83% | -13 points |
| Q1 2025 | -72% | +23 points |
| Q4 2024 | -58% | -28 points |
INDI's operating margin was −56% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
INDI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.1M | -$12.8M |
| Q2 2026 | -$32M | -$18.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$25.3M | +$6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.1M | -$7.5M |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.3M | +$19M |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.6M | +$9.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.4M | -$19.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.6M | +$12M |
INDI has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
INDI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.4% | +7.3M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +20M shares |
| 3 years | +54% | +77.3M shares |
| 5 years | +116% | +118M shares |
| Available history | +98% | +108M shares |
INDI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | $7.4M |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
INDI Net Leverage
INDI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
INDI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.5 | Oversold |
INDI's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INDI PE vs Technology Sector
INDI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over INDI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
INDI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.21 | 1.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $3.18 | 31% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.56 | 39% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.59 | 39% below |
| 200 week MA | $5.22 | 58% below |
INDI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 58% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over INDI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
INDI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.88 | $12.9 | +30% |
| 2021 | $12.9 | $11.6 | -9.7% |
| 2022 | $11.6 | $6.21 | -46% |
| 2023 | $6.21 | $8.11 | +31% |
| 2024 | $8.11 | $4.34 | -46% |
| 2025 | $4.34 | $3.74 | -14% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.74 | $2.18 | -42% |
INDI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 42% so far in 2026.