AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over IMMR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

IMMR

Immersion Corporation

44
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation19/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

IMMR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

IMMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

IMMR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

IMMR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x46x61x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x46x61x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.8x$0.95-86%
Fair7.4x$2.51-64%
Expensive20x$6.92-0.7%
Current21x$6.97—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IMMR's PE is in its expensive range at 21x.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IMMR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for IMMR to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IMMR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IMMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$8.47
Downside-31%$4.81

Calculated from the latest close: $6.97 on Nov 12.

IMMR trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

IMMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.04Q1 2024: $1.38Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.34
Q4 2023: $1.04Q1 2024: $1.38Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $-0.55Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.34-51%
Q1 2024$1.38+35%
Q4 2023$1.04+13%
Q3 2023$1.13+214%
Q2 2023$1.28+412%
Q1 2023$1.02+117%
Q4 2022$0.92+136%
Q3 2022$0.36-43%

IMMR has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $270M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.

IMMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $44MQ2 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $616MQ1 2025: $475MQ2 2025: $285MQ3 2025: $292MQ4 2025: $650MQ1 2026: $518MQ2 2026: $270MQ3 2026: $294M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $44MQ2 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $616MQ1 2025: $475MQ2 2025: $285MQ3 2025: $292MQ4 2025: $650MQ1 2026: $518MQ2 2026: $270MQ3 2026: $294M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$294.4M+0.8%
Q2 2026$270M-5.2%
Q1 2026$518.5M+9.2%
Q4 2025$650.2M+5.5%
Q3 2025$292M+194%
Q2 2025$284.9M+522%
Q1 2025$474.8M+4474%
Q4 2024$616.2M+6399%

IMMR's revenue has held roughly level: $294M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

IMMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$46MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: −$65MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: −$37MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: −$47M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$46MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: −$65MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: −$37MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: −$47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$47.1M+$18.3M
Q2 2026$79.4M+69%
Q1 2026-$37.5M+$8.8M
Q2 2025$47M+49%
Q1 2025-$46.2M-691%
Q2 2024$31.6M+797%
Q1 2024$29.9M+749%
Q4 2023$7.8M-3%

IMMR has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

IMMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+176K shares
1 year+2.1%+688K shares
3 years+1.7%+553K shares
5 years+6.6%+2.1M shares
Available history+4.4%+1.4M shares

IMMR has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

IMMR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.1xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -3.1xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.1xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2022-3.2xNet Cash

IMMR has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

IMMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic26.0Neutral

IMMR's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IMMR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIMMRSector medianRelative
PE21x28x26% below
PE %843549 pts above

IMMR is trading at 21x earnings, a 26% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

IMMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.142.4% below
20 week MA$7.203.2% below
50 week MA$6.704% above
100 week MA$7.112% below
200 week MA$7.517.2% below

IMMR's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 7.2% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over IMMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IMMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.58$8.93+18%
2021$8.93$6.10-32%
2022$6.10$7.33+20%
2023$7.33$7.06-3.7%
2024$7.06$9.00+27%
2025$9.00$6.85-24%
2026 YTD$6.85$6.97+1.8%

IMMR has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 1.8% so far in 2026.

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