AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.
ICG
Intchains Group Limited
There isn't enough reported data to score ICG yet.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ICG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable | |
| Unavailable |
ICG's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
ICG PE Valuation
ICG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ICG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ICG, with profitability improving.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
ICG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | -200% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.06 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.03 | -107% |
ICG and AAOI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over ICG in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
ICG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $33.1M | -22% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.3M | +243% |
| Q4 2023 | $12.3M | -83% |
| Q4 2022 | $71.1M | +57% |
| Q4 2021 | $45.2M | +2349% |
AAOI has the edge over ICG in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -47% | -113 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q4 2023 | -79% | N/A |
| Q4 2022 | 68% | N/A |
| Q4 2021 | 65% | N/A |
| Q4 2020 | 3.3% | N/A |
ICG's operating margin was −47% last quarter, down 113 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
ICG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -$14.7M | +$7.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$22.3M | -$14.5M |
| Q4 2023 | -$7.7M | -116% |
| Q4 2022 | $48.4M | +85% |
| Q4 2021 | $26.2M | +4388% |
ICG and AAOI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has the edge over ICG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
ICG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.7% | +897K shares |
| 1 year | +134% | +69.2M shares |
ICG has 121M diluted shares, up 134% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ICG Net Leverage
ICG's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
ICG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 83.7 | Overbought |
ICG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ICG PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ICG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
ICG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
ICG has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus ICG above 3 of 4.
ICG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.24 | 16% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.04 | 38% above |
| 50 week MA | $1.25 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $2.00 | 28% below |
ICG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 28% below its 100-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over ICG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ICG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $8.27 | $12.4 | +50% |
| 2024 | $12.4 | $9.33 | -25% |
| 2025 | $9.33 | $1.83 | -80% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.83 | $1.44 | -21% |
ICG has finished lower in two of the last three years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.