AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GTLB

GitLab Inc.

60
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

GTLB has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GTLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

GTLB's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

GTLB PE Valuation

GTLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over GTLB on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

GTLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GTLB, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GTLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GTLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$70.20
Downside-31%$32.63

Calculated from the latest close: $47.28 on Nov 12.

GTLB trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

GTLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.77Q1 2024: $-2.75Q2 2024: $-2.75Q3 2024: $-2.34Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $-0.04Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $-0.05Q4 2025: $-0.28Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.15Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.93
Q4 2023: $-2.77Q1 2024: $-2.75Q2 2024: $-2.75Q3 2024: $-2.34Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $-0.04Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $-0.05Q4 2025: $-0.28Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.15Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.93—
Q3 2026-$0.31-$0.26
Q2 2026-$0.15-267%
Q1 2026-$0.34-$0.30
Q4 2025-$0.28+$0.04
Q3 2025-$0.05+$2.29
Q2 2025$0.09+$2.84
Q1 2025-$0.04+$2.71
Q4 2024-$0.32+$2.45

GTLB has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over GTLB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GTLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $150MQ1 2024: $164MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $183MQ4 2024: $196MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $215MQ3 2025: $236MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $260MQ2 2026: $264MQ3 2026: $286M
Q4 2023: $150MQ1 2024: $164MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $183MQ4 2024: $196MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $215MQ3 2025: $236MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $260MQ2 2026: $264MQ3 2026: $286M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$286.3M+21%
Q2 2026$264.2M+23%
Q1 2026$260.4M+23%
Q4 2025$244.4M+25%
Q3 2025$236M+29%
Q2 2025$214.5M+27%
Q1 2025$211.4M+29%
Q4 2024$196M+31%

GTLB's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $286M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

GTLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$178MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $147MQ3 2026: −$3M
Q4 2023: −$7MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$178MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $147MQ3 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.3M-107%
Q2 2026$146.8M+39%
Q1 2026$41.8M-33%
Q4 2025$28.4M+$206.5M
Q3 2025$46.5M+328%
Q2 2025$105.4M+182%
Q1 2025$62.1M+153%
Q4 2024-$178.1M-$171.4M

GTLB has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

GTLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 154MQ2 2024: 158MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 167MQ1 2025: 161MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 166MQ4 2025: 167MQ1 2026: 167MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 169M
Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 154MQ2 2024: 158MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 167MQ1 2025: 161MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 166MQ4 2025: 167MQ1 2026: 167MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 169M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.2M shares
1 year+1.7%+2.8M shares
3 years+9.8%+15.1M shares
5 years+18%+25.7M shares
Available history+27%+36.2M shares

GTLB has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GTLB Net Leverage

GTLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

GTLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.9Neutral
Stochastic63.1Neutral

GTLB's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GTLB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGTLBSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

GTLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

GTLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$51.37.8% below
20 week MA$44.46.6% above
50 week MA$35.135% above
100 week MA$42.511% above
200 week MA$46.61.5% above

GTLB has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over GTLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GTLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$115.0$94.3-18%
2022$94.3$46.1-51%
2023$46.1$63.0+36%
2024$63.0$58.0-7.9%
2025$58.0$37.8-35%
2026 YTD$37.8$47.3+25%

GTLB has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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