AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over GRRR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

GRRR

Gorilla Technology Group Inc.

51
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

GRRR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GRRR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

GRRR's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

GRRR PE Valuation

GRRR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over GRRR on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

GRRR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GRRR's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GRRR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GRRR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+90%$13.67
Downside-47%$3.82

Calculated from the latest close: $7.20 on Nov 12.

GRRR trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over GRRR in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

GRRR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-6.66Q1 2025: $-5.78Q2 2025: $-6.05Q3 2025: $-3.24Q4 2025: $-0.53Q1 2026: $-1.72Q2 2026: $-1.88
Q4 2024: $-6.66Q1 2025: $-5.78Q2 2025: $-6.05Q3 2025: $-3.24Q4 2025: $-0.53Q1 2026: $-1.72Q2 2026: $-1.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.88+$4.17
Q1 2026-$1.72+$4.06
Q4 2025-$0.53+$6.13

GRRR is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.88 per share over the past year, against $6.66 at its worst in late 2024.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over GRRR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRRR Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $32MQ4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $50M
Q3 2023: $32MQ4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $50M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$50.1M+138%
Q1 2026$28.2M+55%
Q4 2025$35.6M+4.8%
Q3 2025$26.5M+32%
Q2 2025$21.1M+76%
Q1 2025$18.3M+109%
Q4 2024$33.9M+27%
Q3 2024$20.1M-36%

GRRR's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $50M last quarter, up 138% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

GRRR Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: −$21MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: −$25M
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: −$21MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: −$25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$25.1M-$23.1M
Q1 2026$6.6M+$17.5M
Q4 2025-$13.7M+$7M
Q3 2025-$2.8M-316%
Q2 2025-$2M+$5.9M
Q1 2025-$11M-$7.1M
Q4 2024-$20.7M-$20.7M
Q3 2024$1.3M+$1.3M

GRRR has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over GRRR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GRRR Total Shares

Q1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 28M
Q1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.2%+1.9M shares
1 year+42%+8.2M shares

GRRR has 28M diluted shares, up 42% from a year ago, despite $5M in buybacks over the past year.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GRRR Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.6xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 4.8xQ2 2024: 1.1x
Q3 2023: 1.6xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 4.8xQ2 2024: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20241.1xHealthy
Q1 20244.8xHigh
Q4 20232.2xModerate
Q3 20231.6xHealthy
Q2 202114.5xHigh
Q1 202116.8xHigh
Q4 202013.3xHigh
Q4 201920.4xHigh

GRRR's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 14 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

GRRR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic6.8Oversold

GRRR's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GRRR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGRRRSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

GRRR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over GRRR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GRRR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.5124% below
20 week MA$12.442% below
50 week MA$13.145% below
100 week MA$16.155% below
200 week MA$16.456% below

GRRR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 56% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over GRRR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GRRR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$98.3$100.0+1.7%
2022$100.0$40.4-60%
2023$40.4$5.39-87%
2024$5.39$18.9+250%
2025$18.9$11.3-40%
2026 YTD$11.3$7.20-36%

GRRR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +250% in 2024 to −87% in 2023. It's down 36% so far in 2026.

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