AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GRMN
Garmin Ltd.
GRMN has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GRMN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
GRMN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
GRMN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $200 | -30% |
| Fair | 23x | $242 | -16% |
| Forward | 26x | $286 | — |
| Expensive | 27x | $284 | -0.9% |
| Current | 27x | $286 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GRMN's PE is in its expensive range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GRMN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GRMN, with profitability improving.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
GRMN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.12 | +6.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.41 | +28% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.69 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.96 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.59 | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.11 | +2.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.10 | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.59 | +7.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.30 | +8.8% |
GRMN has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over GRMN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
GRMN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8B | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B | +23% |
GRMN's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | +5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 30% | +4.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 26% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 22% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +5.4 points |
GRMN has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
GRMN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $293.3M | -31% |
| Q2 2026 | $275.8M | +116% |
| Q1 2026 | $469.4M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $429.6M | +7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $425.1M | +94% |
| Q2 2025 | $127.5M | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $380.7M | -5.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $399.2M | -4.3% |
GRMN has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
GRMN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +146K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +84K shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +2M shares |
| 5 years | +0.4% | +807K shares |
| Available history | +1.4% | +2.7M shares |
GRMN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GRMN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
GRMN has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
GRMN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.8 | Neutral |
GRMN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GRMN PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GRMN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 86 | 35 | 51 pts above |
GRMN is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
GRMN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $283.3 | 1% above |
| 20 week MA | $278.6 | 2.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $248.6 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $232.3 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $183.4 | 56% above |
GRMN has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over GRMN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
GRMN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.5 | $120.2 | +22% |
| 2021 | $120.2 | $134.5 | +12% |
| 2022 | $134.5 | $91.3 | -32% |
| 2023 | $91.3 | $128.5 | +41% |
| 2024 | $128.5 | $209.4 | +63% |
| 2025 | $209.4 | $205.5 | -1.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $205.5 | $286.2 | +39% |
GRMN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 39% so far in 2026.