AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GRAB

Grab Holdings Limited

66
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

GRAB has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GRAB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

GRAB's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

GRAB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE153x306x459x613x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE153x306x459x613x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$3.24—
Current23x$3.24—
Cheap38x$5.39+66%
Fair63x$8.83+173%
Expensive251x$35.19+986%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GRAB's PE is in its cheap range at 23x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GRAB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GRAB, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails GRAB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GRAB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$4.70
Downside-16%$2.72

Calculated from the latest close: $3.24 on Nov 12.

GRAB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

GRAB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.21Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $-0.07Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.03Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $0.03Q4 2025: $0.07Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.15
Q3 2023: $-0.21Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $-0.07Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.03Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $0.03Q4 2025: $0.07Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.15+4.6%
Q2 2026$0.14+367%
Q1 2026$0.09+800%
Q4 2025$0.07+$0.10
Q3 2025$0.03+$0.06
Q2 2025$0.03+$0.08
Q1 2025$0.01+$0.08
Q4 2024-$0.03+$0.07
Q3 2024-$0.03+$0.18

GRAB has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over GRAB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GRAB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $615MQ4 2023: $653MQ1 2024: $653MQ2 2024: $664MQ3 2024: $716MQ4 2024: $764MQ1 2025: $773MQ2 2025: $819MQ3 2025: $873MQ4 2025: $906MQ1 2026: $955MQ2 2026: $997M
Q3 2023: $615MQ4 2023: $653MQ1 2024: $653MQ2 2024: $664MQ3 2024: $716MQ4 2024: $764MQ1 2025: $773MQ2 2025: $819MQ3 2025: $873MQ4 2025: $906MQ1 2026: $955MQ2 2026: $997M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$997M+22%
Q1 2026$955M+24%
Q4 2025$906M+19%
Q3 2025$873M+22%
Q2 2025$819M+23%
Q1 2025$773M+18%
Q4 2024$764M+17%
Q3 2024$716M+16%

GRAB's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $997M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

GRAB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $299MQ4 2023: −$54MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $302MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: −$159MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: −$29MQ2 2026: $72M
Q3 2023: $299MQ4 2023: −$54MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $302MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: −$159MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: −$29MQ2 2026: $72M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$72M+41%
Q1 2026-$29M-151%
Q4 2025$49M-78%
Q3 2025-$159M-153%
Q2 2025$51M-80%
Q1 2025$57M+$79M
Q4 2024$223M+$277M
Q3 2024$302M+1%

GRAB has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

GRAB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 3.9BQ4 2023: 3.9BQ1 2024: 3.9BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.2B
Q3 2023: 3.9BQ4 2023: 3.9BQ1 2024: 3.9BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-6.1%-273M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years+6.9%+268M shares
5 years+5.5%+219M shares

GRAB has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GRAB Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -50.4xQ3 2024: -20.5xQ4 2024: -27.1xQ1 2025: -14.0xQ2 2025: -6.9xQ3 2025: -3.7xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.0x
Q2 2024: -50.4xQ3 2024: -20.5xQ4 2024: -27.1xQ1 2025: -14.0xQ2 2025: -6.9xQ3 2025: -3.7xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-14.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-27.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-20.5xNet Cash

GRAB has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

GRAB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.4Neutral
Stochastic36.2Neutral

GRAB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GRAB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGRABSector medianRelative
PE23x28x16% below
PE %43935 pts below

GRAB is trading at 23x earnings, a 16% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

GRAB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.065.9% above
20 week MA$3.322.4% below
50 week MA$3.7814% below
100 week MA$4.4026% below
200 week MA$3.9217% below

GRAB has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 17% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over GRAB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GRAB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.4$13.3+7.4%
2021$13.3$7.35-45%
2022$7.35$3.27-56%
2023$3.27$3.37+3.1%
2024$3.37$4.81+43%
2025$4.81$5.15+7.1%
2026 YTD$5.15$3.24-37%

GRAB is down 37% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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