AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GLW

Corning Incorporated

75
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

GLW has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GLW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

GLW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

GLW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x157x235x313x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x157x235x313x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$59.79-50%
Forward28x$120—
Fair48x$119-0.6%
Current49x$120—
Expensive91x$223+87%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GLW's PE is in its fair range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GLW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GLW, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails GLW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GLW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$205.03
Downside-15%$101.49

Calculated from the latest close: $119.50 on Nov 12.

GLW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

GLW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.68Q1 2024: $0.72Q2 2024: $0.51Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.58Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.94Q3 2025: $1.58Q4 2025: $1.83Q1 2026: $2.08Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $2.46Forward: $4.20
Q4 2023: $0.68Q1 2024: $0.72Q2 2024: $0.51Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.58Q1 2025: $0.52Q2 2025: $0.94Q3 2025: $1.58Q4 2025: $1.83Q1 2026: $2.08Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $2.46Forward: $4.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.20+71%
Q3 2026$2.46+56%
Q2 2026$2.18+132%
Q1 2026$2.08+300%
Q4 2025$1.83+216%
Q3 2025$1.58+778%
Q2 2025$0.94+84%
Q1 2025$0.52-28%
Q4 2024$0.58-15%

GLW has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over GLW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GLW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+18%
Q2 2026$4.5B+17%
Q1 2026$4.1B+20%
Q4 2025$4.2B+20%
Q3 2025$4.1B+21%
Q2 2025$3.9B+19%
Q1 2025$3.5B+16%
Q4 2024$3.5B+17%

GLW's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $4.9B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

GLW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: −$156MQ2 2024: $279MQ3 2024: $482MQ4 2024: $369MQ1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $400MQ3 2025: $450MQ4 2025: $620MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $516M
Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: −$156MQ2 2024: $279MQ3 2024: $482MQ4 2024: $369MQ1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $400MQ3 2025: $450MQ4 2025: $620MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $516M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$516M+15%
Q2 2026$1.3B+224%
Q1 2026$30M+$87M
Q4 2025$620M+68%
Q3 2025$450M-6.6%
Q2 2025$400M+43%
Q1 2025-$57M+$99M
Q4 2024$369M-15%

GLW has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

GLW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 859MQ1 2024: 862MQ2 2024: 864MQ3 2024: 854MQ4 2024: 869MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 865MQ3 2025: 868MQ4 2025: 871MQ1 2026: 871MQ2 2026: 875MQ3 2026: 871M
Q4 2023: 859MQ1 2024: 862MQ2 2024: 864MQ3 2024: 854MQ4 2024: 869MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 865MQ3 2025: 868MQ4 2025: 871MQ1 2026: 871MQ2 2026: 875MQ3 2026: 871M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-4M shares
1 year+0.3%+3M shares
3 years+1.4%+12M shares
5 years+0.6%+5M shares
Available history-3.1%-28M shares

GLW has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GLW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20242.2xModerate

GLW's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.0 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

GLW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.1Neutral
Stochastic14.4Oversold

GLW's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GLW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGLWSector medianRelative
PE49x28x74% above
PE %503515 pts above

GLW is trading at 49x earnings, a 74% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

GLW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$135.312% below
20 week MA$150.521% below
50 week MA$144.717% below
100 week MA$101.817% above
200 week MA$68.774% above

GLW has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over GLW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GLW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.8$36.3+26%
2021$36.3$36.8+1.3%
2022$36.8$31.8-14%
2023$31.8$30.5-4.1%
2024$30.5$47.8+57%
2025$47.8$89.6+87%
2026 YTD$89.6$119.5+33%

GLW has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 33% so far in 2026.

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