AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GLOB

Globant S.A.

70
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation90/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

GLOB has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GLOB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

GLOB's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

GLOB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE50x100x151x201x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE50x100x151x201x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.5x$45.75—
Current18x$45.75—
Cheap27x$69.32+52%
Fair58x$149+225%
Expensive131x$335+632%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GLOB's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.5x.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over GLOB on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GLOB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect GLOB's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GLOB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GLOB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$62.30
Downside-27%$33.45

Calculated from the latest close: $45.75 on Nov 12.

GLOB trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

GLOB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.58Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $3.83Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $3.76Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $2.50Q3 2025: $2.21Q4 2025: $2.29Q1 2026: $2.46Q2 2026: $2.55Forward: $6.08
Q3 2023: $3.58Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $3.83Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $3.76Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $2.50Q3 2025: $2.21Q4 2025: $2.29Q1 2026: $2.46Q2 2026: $2.55Forward: $6.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.08+138%
Q2 2026$2.55+2%
Q1 2026$2.46-28%
Q4 2025$2.29-39%
Q3 2025$2.21-43%
Q2 2025$2.50-35%
Q1 2025$3.42-10%
Q4 2024$3.76+3.6%
Q3 2024$3.87+8.1%

GLOB has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over GLOB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GLOB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $545MQ4 2023: $581MQ1 2024: $571MQ2 2024: $587MQ3 2024: $615MQ4 2024: $642MQ1 2025: $611MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $617MQ4 2025: $612MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $614M
Q3 2023: $545MQ4 2023: $581MQ1 2024: $571MQ2 2024: $587MQ3 2024: $615MQ4 2024: $642MQ1 2025: $611MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $617MQ4 2025: $612MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $614M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$614.4M0%
Q1 2026$607.1M-0.7%
Q4 2025$612.5M-4.7%
Q3 2025$617.1M+0.4%
Q2 2025$614.2M+4.5%
Q1 2025$611.1M+7%
Q4 2024$642.5M+11%
Q3 2024$614.7M+13%

GLOB's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $614M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

GLOB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $61MQ4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $172MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $13M
Q3 2023: $61MQ4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $172MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$12.6M+$15.5M
Q1 2026$36.1M+$41.8M
Q4 2025$202.3M+18%
Q3 2025$67.5M-3.2%
Q2 2025-$2.9M+$25.1M
Q1 2025-$5.7M-$877K
Q4 2024$171.9M-15%
Q3 2024$69.7M+15%

GLOB has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

GLOB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 44MQ4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43M
Q3 2023: 44MQ4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-124K shares
1 year-2.4%-1.1M shares
3 years-0.3%-145K shares
5 years+3.8%+1.6M shares
Available history+14%+5.4M shares

GLOB has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GLOB Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.1xQ4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q3 2023: -0.1xQ4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low
Q3 20240.3xVery low

GLOB's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

GLOB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.6Neutral
Stochastic85.6Overbought

GLOB's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GLOB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGLOBSector medianRelative
PE18x28x36% below
PE %73528 pts below

GLOB is trading at 18x earnings, a 36% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

GLOB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$41.311% above
20 week MA$38.020% above
50 week MA$45.70.2% above
100 week MA$78.942% below
200 week MA$135.466% below

GLOB has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over GLOB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GLOB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$107.9$218.7+103%
2021$218.7$297.7+36%
2022$297.7$163.7-45%
2023$163.7$238.0+45%
2024$238.0$217.6-8.6%
2025$217.6$67.5-69%
2026 YTD$67.5$45.8-32%

GLOB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +103% in 2020 to −69% in 2025. It's down 32% so far in 2026.

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