AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GILT

Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.

66
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

GILT has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GILT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

GILT's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

GILT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE48x97x145x193x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE48x97x145x193x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$5.73—
Cheap11x$5.05-12%
Current13x$5.73—
Fair19x$8.55+49%
Expensive37x$16.22+183%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GILT's PE is in its cheap range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GILT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GILT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails GILT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GILT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$9.09
Downside-21%$4.53

Calculated from the latest close: $5.73 on Nov 12.

GILT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

GILT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.24Q4 2023: $0.42Q1 2024: $0.40Q2 2024: $0.35Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.44Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $0.39Q3 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $0.44Forward: $0.56
Q3 2023: $0.24Q4 2023: $0.42Q1 2024: $0.40Q2 2024: $0.35Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.44Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $0.39Q3 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $0.44Forward: $0.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.56+26%
Q2 2026$0.44+13%
Q1 2026$0.51+113%
Q4 2025$0.33-25%
Q3 2025$0.41+41%
Q2 2025$0.39+11%
Q1 2025$0.24-40%
Q4 2024$0.44+4.8%
Q3 2024$0.29+21%

GILT has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over GILT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GILT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $76MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $92MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: $110MQ2 2026: $123M
Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $76MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $92MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: $110MQ2 2026: $123M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$122.7M+17%
Q1 2026$110.5M+20%
Q4 2025$137M+75%
Q3 2025$117.7M+58%
Q2 2025$105M+37%
Q1 2025$92M+21%
Q4 2024$78.1M+3.3%
Q3 2024$74.6M+17%

GILT's revenue has grown year over year for 21 quarters in a row: $123M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

GILT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $12MQ4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: −$4M
Q3 2023: $12MQ4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$4M-270%
Q1 2026-$14.7M-$6.6M
Q4 2025-$9.8M-171%
Q3 2025$25.3M+91%
Q2 2025$2.4M+$7.8M
Q1 2025-$8.1M-336%
Q4 2024$13.8M+83%
Q3 2024$13.3M+14%

GILT has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

GILT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 57MQ4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 79M
Q3 2023: 57MQ4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 79M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+2.2M shares
1 year+39%+22.1M shares
3 years+40%+22.8M shares
5 years+41%+22.9M shares
Available history+42%+23.4M shares

GILT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GILT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -2.4xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -2.5xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -2.5x
Q3 2023: -2.4xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -2.5xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 20250.0xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-2.5xNet Cash
Q3 2024-3.0xNet Cash

GILT has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

GILT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.1Oversold
Stochastic8.5Oversold

GILT's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GILT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGILTSector medianRelative
PE13x28x53% below
PE %243511 pts below

GILT is trading at 13x earnings, a 53% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over GILT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GILT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.1330% below
20 week MA$9.7941% below
50 week MA$13.457% below
100 week MA$10.847% below
200 week MA$8.2330% below

GILT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over GILT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GILT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.89$6.04-23%
2021$6.04$7.43+23%
2022$7.43$5.47-26%
2023$5.47$6.11+12%
2024$6.11$5.96-2.5%
2025$5.96$12.6+111%
2026 YTD$12.6$5.73-54%

GILT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 54% so far in 2026.

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