AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over GIFT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
GIFT
Giftify, Inc.
GIFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GIFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
GIFT's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
GIFT PE Valuation
GIFT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GIFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GIFT's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
GIFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.23 | +$0.19 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.23 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.39 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.35 | +$0.38 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.42 | -$0.07 |
| Q3 2020 | -$4.18 | -$2.72 |
| Q2 2020 | -$4.28 | -$3.11 |
GIFT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.23 per share over the past year, against $4.70 at its worst in late 2019.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over GIFT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over GIFT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GIFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $22.3M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.7M | +4% |
| Q1 2026 | $21.4M | -4.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $21.2M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.8M | -19% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.9M | +4.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $22.3M | +3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.2M | -71% |
GIFT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $22M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -7.1% | +6.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5.8% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -12% | +1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | -10% | +7.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -13% | +3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -12% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | -14% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -17% | -17 points |
GIFT's operating margin was −7.1% last quarter, up 6.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
GIFT has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 34% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.
GIFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | -$246.9K | -$226.9K |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.6M | -$1.9M |
| Q1 2024 | -$231.5K | +$119.4K |
| Q3 2023 | -$20.1K | +$661.3K |
| Q2 2023 | -$630.3K | -259% |
| Q1 2023 | -$350.8K | +$80.5K |
| Q4 2020 | -$9K | +$188K |
| Q3 2020 | -$345K | -$77K |
GIFT has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$2M over the past year, against −$3M the year before.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
GIFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.1% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +4.8M shares |
| 3 years | +146% | +20.9M shares |
| 5 years | +1079% | +32.2M shares |
| Available history | +1478% | +33M shares |
GIFT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | — |
| Q3 2019 | — |
| Q2 2019 | — |
| Q1 2019 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GIFT Net Leverage
GIFT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
GIFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 29.2 | Neutral |
GIFT's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GIFT PE vs Technology Sector
GIFT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over GIFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GIFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.60 | 6.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $0.75 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $0.90 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.12 | 50% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.28 | 75% below |
GIFT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 75% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over GIFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
GIFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $1.60 | $0.80 | -50% |
| 2022 | $0.80 | $1.51 | +89% |
| 2023 | $1.51 | $4.00 | +165% |
| 2024 | $4.00 | $1.04 | -74% |
| 2025 | $1.04 | $1.05 | +1% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.05 | $0.56 | -47% |
GIFT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +165% in 2023 to −74% in 2024. It's down 47% so far in 2026.