AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

GFS

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score GFS yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GFS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Strong

GFS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

GFS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE186x372x558x744x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE186x372x558x744x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$42.62โ€”
Cheap22x$7.78-82%
Fair32x$11.50-73%
Expensive54x$19.41-54%
Current118x$42.62โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GFS's PE is 118x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GFS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GFS, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and GFS's risk to reward.

GFS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $42.62 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and GFS's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

GFS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2022: $2.62Q1 2023: $2.75Q2 2023: $2.70Q3 2023: $2.54Q4 2023: $1.83Q3 2024: $1.32Q4 2024: $-0.49Q3 2025: $-0.09Q4 2025: $1.59Q3 2026: $0.36Forward: $2.38
Q4 2022: $2.62Q1 2023: $2.75Q2 2023: $2.70Q3 2023: $2.54Q4 2023: $1.83Q3 2024: $1.32Q4 2024: $-0.49Q3 2025: $-0.09Q4 2025: $1.59Q3 2026: $0.36Forward: $2.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.38+560%
Q3 2026$0.36+$0.45
Q4 2025$1.59+$2.08
Q3 2025-$0.09-107%
Q4 2024-$0.49-127%
Q3 2024$1.32-48%
Q4 2023$1.83-30%
Q4 2022$2.62+$3.11
Q4 2021-$0.49+$2.10

GFS has the edge over AAOI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

GFS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 127% for AAOI versus up 236% for GFS.

GFS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2022: $2.1BQ1 2023: $1.8BQ2 2023: $1.8BQ3 2023: $1.9BQ4 2023: $1.9BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ3 2026: $5.3B
Q4 2022: $2.1BQ1 2023: $1.8BQ2 2023: $1.8BQ3 2023: $1.9BQ4 2023: $1.9BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ3 2026: $5.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.3B+215%
Q4 2025$1.8B0%
Q3 2025$1.7B-66%
Q4 2024$1.8B-1.3%
Q3 2024$4.9B+166%
Q4 2023$1.9B-12%
Q3 2023$1.9B-11%
Q2 2023$1.8B-7.4%

GFS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $5.3B last quarter, up 236% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

GFS has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 47% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.

GFS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2022: โˆ’$559MQ1 2023: โˆ’$326MQ2 2023: $156MQ3 2023: $112MQ4 2023: $379MQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $406MQ4 2025: $166MQ3 2026: $264M
Q4 2022: โˆ’$559MQ1 2023: โˆ’$326MQ2 2023: $156MQ3 2023: $112MQ4 2023: $379MQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $406MQ4 2025: $166MQ3 2026: $264M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$264M-35%
Q4 2025$166M-26%
Q3 2025$406M-54%
Q4 2024$223M-41%
Q3 2024$874M+680%
Q4 2023$379M+$938M
Q3 2023$112M+44%
Q2 2023$156M+$343M

GFS still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $1.1B over the past year.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

GFS Total Shares

Q4 2022: 552MQ1 2023: 555MQ2 2023: 556MQ3 2023: 556MQ4 2023: 556MQ3 2024: 557MQ4 2024: 553MQ1 2025: 557MQ2 2025: 557MQ3 2025: 559MQ4 2025: 558MQ3 2026: 552M
Q4 2022: 552MQ1 2023: 555MQ2 2023: 556MQ3 2023: 556MQ4 2023: 556MQ3 2024: 557MQ4 2024: 553MQ1 2025: 557MQ2 2025: 557MQ3 2025: 559MQ4 2025: 558MQ3 2026: 552M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-6M shares
1 year-0.9%-5M shares
3 years-0.2%-1M shares

GFS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GFS Net Leverage

Q4 2022: 0.0xQ1 2023: 0.1xQ2 2023: 0.2xQ3 2023: 0.2xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2022: 0.0xQ1 2023: 0.1xQ2 2023: 0.2xQ3 2023: 0.2xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 20240.0xVery low
Q4 2023-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 20230.2xVery low
Q2 20230.2xVery low

GFS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

GFS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.3Neutral
Stochastic18.6Oversold

GFS's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GFS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGFSSector medianRelative
PE118x28x325% above
PE %934647 pts above

GFS is trading at 118x earnings, a 325% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over GFS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GFS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.25.7% below
20 week MA$50.115% below
50 week MA$52.519% below
100 week MA$44.84.8% below
200 week MA$49.414% below

GFS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over GFS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GFS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$48.7$61.7+27%
2022$61.7$54.7-11%
2023$54.7$60.6+11%
2024$60.6$44.2-27%
2025$44.2$35.8-19%
2026 YTD$35.8$42.6+19%

GFS has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's up 19% so far in 2026.

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