AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

G

Genpact Limited

70
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

G has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

G Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

G's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

G PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x32x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x32x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.8x$43.13—
Cheap11x$38.08-12%
Current13x$43.13—
Fair19x$66.41+54%
Expensive26x$90.56+110%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

G's PE is in its cheap range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.8x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

G Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for G, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than G, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

G Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$51.96
Downside-20%$34.30

Calculated from the latest close: $43.13 on Nov 12.

G trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

G Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.41Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.52Q3 2024: $3.62Q4 2024: $2.85Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.02Q3 2025: $3.11Q4 2025: $3.13Q1 2026: $3.26Q2 2026: $3.37Q3 2026: $3.43Forward: $4.41
Q4 2023: $3.41Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.52Q3 2024: $3.62Q4 2024: $2.85Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.02Q3 2025: $3.11Q4 2025: $3.13Q1 2026: $3.26Q2 2026: $3.37Q3 2026: $3.43Forward: $4.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.41+28%
Q3 2026$3.43+10%
Q2 2026$3.37+12%
Q1 2026$3.26+11%
Q4 2025$3.13+9.8%
Q3 2025$3.11-14%
Q2 2025$3.02-14%
Q1 2025$2.94-16%
Q4 2024$2.85-16%

G has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over G on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

G Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+7.3%
Q2 2026$1.3B+7.1%
Q1 2026$1.3B+6.7%
Q4 2025$1.3B+5.6%
Q3 2025$1.3B+6.6%
Q2 2025$1.3B+6.6%
Q1 2025$1.2B+7.4%
Q4 2024$1.2B+8.9%

G's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.4B last quarter, up 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

G Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $174MQ1 2024: −$50MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $155MQ3 2025: $292MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $76M
Q4 2023: $174MQ1 2024: −$50MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $155MQ3 2025: $292MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $76M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$76.4M-74%
Q2 2026$58.5M-62%
Q1 2026-$47.5M-357%
Q4 2025$269M+47%
Q3 2025$292M+40%
Q2 2025$155.1M-18%
Q1 2025$18.5M+$68M
Q4 2024$183.5M+5.6%

G has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

G Total Shares

Q4 2023: 185MQ1 2024: 182MQ2 2024: 181MQ3 2024: 180MQ4 2024: 180MQ1 2025: 178MQ2 2025: 177MQ3 2025: 176MQ4 2025: 177MQ1 2026: 173MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 170M
Q4 2023: 185MQ1 2024: 182MQ2 2024: 181MQ3 2024: 180MQ4 2024: 180MQ1 2025: 178MQ2 2025: 177MQ3 2025: 176MQ4 2025: 177MQ1 2026: 173MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 170M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-798K shares
1 year-3.7%-6.5M shares
3 years-7.7%-14.2M shares
5 years-12%-23.5M shares
Available history-14%-27M shares

G has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

G Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

G's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

G Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.5Neutral
Stochastic87.7Overbought

G's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

G PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGSector medianRelative
PE13x28x55% below
PE %233512 pts below

G is trading at 13x earnings, a 55% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

G Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.014% above
20 week MA$35.522% above
50 week MA$37.316% above
100 week MA$41.34.5% above
200 week MA$39.59.2% above

G has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over G on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

G Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.4$41.8-1.5%
2021$41.8$52.4+25%
2022$52.4$46.1-12%
2023$46.1$34.7-25%
2024$34.7$42.9+24%
2025$42.9$48.1+12%
2026 YTD$48.1$43.1-10%

G has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

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