AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

FUSE

Fusemachines Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score FUSE yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FUSE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Unavailable
Strong

FUSE's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

FUSE PE Valuation

FUSE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FUSE Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for FUSE to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and FUSE's risk to reward.

FUSE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.32 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and FUSE's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

FUSE has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus FUSE up 156%.

FUSE Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.28Q4 2023: $0.23
Q3 2023: $0.28Q4 2023: $0.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2023$0.23+156%
Q3 2023$0.28+1300%
Q2 2023$0.26+$0.28
Q1 2023$0.16+$0.17

FUSE's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.23 over the past year, up 156% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since early 2023.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 127% for AAOI versus down 5.6% for FUSE.

FUSE Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $131MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $0Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $131MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $0Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q1 2026$1.9M-3.8%
Q1 2025$2M+1.9%

FUSE's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $2M last quarter, down 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

FUSE Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $622,040Q1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $304,000Q1 2025: −$253,000Q2 2025: −$230,140Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: −$1M
Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $622,040Q1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $304,000Q1 2025: −$253,000Q2 2025: −$230,140Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: −$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$1.3M-$1.1M
Q1 2026-$2.2M-$2M
Q2 2025-$230.1K-101%
Q1 2025-$253K+$1.2M
Q4 2024$304K-51%
Q2 2024$45.6M+6569%
Q1 2024-$1.5M-$1.2M
Q4 2023$622K+75%

FUSE has burned cash in most quarters: −$5M over the past year, against $44M the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over FUSE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FUSE Total Shares

Q3 2023: 14MQ4 2023: 10MQ2 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 31M
Q3 2023: 14MQ4 2023: 10MQ2 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.6%+1.6M shares
1 year+321%+23.3M shares
3 years+30%+7.1M shares

FUSE has 31M diluted shares, up 321% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FUSE Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.1xQ4 2023: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.4x
Q3 2023: 0.1xQ4 2023: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20240.4xVery low
Q4 20231.5xHealthy
Q3 20230.1xVery low
Q2 20230.1xVery low
Q1 20230.0xVery low
Q4 20222.2xModerate

FUSE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

FUSE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI6.6Oversold
Stochastic8.2Oversold

FUSE's weekly RSI is 7 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FUSE PE vs Technology Sector

FUSE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus FUSE above 0 of 3.

FUSE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.4020% below
20 week MA$0.6450% below
50 week MA$1.1973% below

FUSE is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 73% below its 50-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over FUSE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

FUSE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$15.0$1.91-87%
2026 YTD$1.91$0.32-83%

FUSE has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 83% so far in 2026.

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