AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

FSLY

Fastly, Inc.

68
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

FSLY has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FSLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Unavailable

FSLY's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

FSLY PE Valuation

FSLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FSLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FSLY, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and FSLY's risk to reward.

FSLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $17.19 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and FSLY's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

FSLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-0.99Q2 2024: $-1.23Q3 2024: $-1.08Q4 2024: $-1.14Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $-1.03Q3 2025: $-0.96Q4 2025: $-0.83Q1 2026: $-0.69Q2 2026: $-0.53Q3 2026: $-0.40Forward: $0.68
Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-0.99Q2 2024: $-1.23Q3 2024: $-1.08Q4 2024: $-1.14Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $-1.03Q3 2025: $-0.96Q4 2025: $-0.83Q1 2026: $-0.69Q2 2026: $-0.53Q3 2026: $-0.40Forward: $0.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.68—
Q3 2026-$0.40+$0.56
Q2 2026-$0.53+$0.50
Q1 2026-$0.69+$0.40
Q4 2025-$0.83+$0.31
Q3 2025-$0.96+$0.12
Q2 2025-$1.03+$0.20
Q1 2025-$1.09-$0.10
Q4 2024-$1.14-$0.11

FSLY has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over FSLY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FSLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $132MQ3 2024: $137MQ4 2024: $141MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $149MQ3 2025: $158MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $173MQ2 2026: $183MQ3 2026: $190M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $132MQ3 2024: $137MQ4 2024: $141MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $149MQ3 2025: $158MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $173MQ2 2026: $183MQ3 2026: $190M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$190.2M+20%
Q2 2026$183.3M+23%
Q1 2026$173M+20%
Q4 2025$172.6M+23%
Q3 2025$158.2M+15%
Q2 2025$148.7M+12%
Q1 2025$144.5M+8.2%
Q4 2024$140.6M+2%

FSLY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $190M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

FSLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $251,000Q1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $251,000Q1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$29M+27%
Q2 2026$7.7M-52%
Q1 2026$7.8M-47%
Q4 2025$12.2M+4778%
Q3 2025$22.9M+661%
Q2 2025$15.9M+$22.7M
Q1 2025$14.7M+54%
Q4 2024$251K+$10.3M

FSLY has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

FSLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 129MQ1 2024: 135MQ2 2024: 137MQ3 2024: 139MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 146MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 158MQ3 2026: 160M
Q4 2023: 129MQ1 2024: 135MQ2 2024: 137MQ3 2024: 139MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 146MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 158MQ3 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+2.4M shares
1 year+8%+11.9M shares
3 years+23%+30.1M shares
5 years+37%+43.5M shares
Available history+68%+64.6M shares

FSLY has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FSLY Net Leverage

FSLY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

FSLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.6Neutral
Stochastic16.7Oversold

FSLY's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FSLY PE vs Technology Sector

FSLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

FSLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.925% below
20 week MA$22.724% below
50 week MA$19.612% below
100 week MA$13.825% above
200 week MA$13.627% above

FSLY has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

FSLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.6$97.5+374%
2021$97.5$39.4-60%
2022$39.4$7.96-80%
2023$7.96$17.8+124%
2024$17.8$9.60-46%
2025$9.60$10.2+6.7%
2026 YTD$10.2$17.2+68%

FSLY has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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