AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

FRSH

Freshworks Inc.

72
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

FRSH has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FRSH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

FRSH's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

FRSH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$9.39-26%
Forward15x$12.67—
Fair16x$11.78-7.1%
Current18x$12.67—
Expensive20x$14.57+15%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FRSH's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FRSH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FRSH, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FRSH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FRSH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$18.59
Downside-30%$8.86

Calculated from the latest close: $12.67 on Nov 12.

FRSH trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

FRSH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.47Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.10Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.61Q2 2026: $0.63Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $0.84
Q4 2023: $-0.47Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.10Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.61Q2 2026: $0.63Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $0.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.84+17%
Q3 2026$0.72+$0.82
Q2 2026$0.63+$0.81
Q1 2026$0.61+$0.85
Q4 2025$0.63+$0.95
Q3 2025-$0.10+$0.24
Q2 2025-$0.18+$0.17
Q1 2025-$0.24+$0.16
Q4 2024-$0.32+$0.15

FRSH has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over FRSH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FRSH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $160MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $174MQ3 2024: $187MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $196MQ2 2025: $205MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $229MQ2 2026: $237MQ3 2026: $245M
Q4 2023: $160MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $174MQ3 2024: $187MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $196MQ2 2025: $205MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $229MQ2 2026: $237MQ3 2026: $245M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$245.4M+14%
Q2 2026$237.4M+16%
Q1 2026$228.6M+16%
Q4 2025$222.7M+14%
Q3 2025$215.1M+15%
Q2 2025$204.7M+18%
Q1 2025$196.3M+19%
Q4 2024$194.6M+22%

FRSH's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $245M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

FRSH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $53MQ3 2026: $75M
Q4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $53MQ3 2026: $75M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$74.9M+21%
Q2 2026$53.5M-8.1%
Q1 2026$58.5M+3.2%
Q4 2025$60.1M+66%
Q3 2025$61.7M+49%
Q2 2025$58.2M+71%
Q1 2025$56.7M+42%
Q4 2024$36.3M+22%

FRSH has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

FRSH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 298MQ2 2024: 300MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 301MQ1 2025: 301MQ2 2025: 294MQ3 2025: 286MQ4 2025: 294MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 273MQ3 2026: 266M
Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 298MQ2 2024: 300MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 301MQ1 2025: 301MQ2 2025: 294MQ3 2025: 286MQ4 2025: 294MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 273MQ3 2026: 266M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-6.6M shares
1 year-6.9%-19.8M shares
3 years-9.4%-27.8M shares
5 years+5.3%+13.5M shares
Available history+1468%+249M shares

FRSH has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FRSH Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -14.6xQ1 2026: -12.8xQ2 2026: -8.3xQ3 2026: -4.8x
Q4 2025: -14.6xQ1 2026: -12.8xQ2 2026: -8.3xQ3 2026: -4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-8.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-12.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-14.6xNet Cash
Q2 2021-122.9xNet Cash
Q1 2021-101.8xNet Cash
Q1 20196.2xHigh

FRSH has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

FRSH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic46.5Neutral

FRSH's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FRSH PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFRSHSector medianRelative
PE18x28x37% below
PE %624517 pts above

FRSH is trading at 18x earnings, a 37% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

FRSH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.56.1% below
20 week MA$12.51.6% above
50 week MA$10.818% above
100 week MA$12.51.4% above
200 week MA$14.513% below

FRSH has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over FRSH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

FRSH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$46.8$27.9-40%
2022$27.9$13.8-50%
2023$13.8$23.5+70%
2024$23.5$15.9-32%
2025$15.9$12.4-22%
2026 YTD$12.4$12.7+2.2%

FRSH has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's up 2.2% so far in 2026.

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