AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
FN
Fabrinet
FN has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
FN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
FN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
FN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $354 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $258 | -27% |
| Fair | 25x | $335 | -5.4% |
| Current | 27x | $354 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $437 | +23% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FN's PE is in its fair range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over FN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
FN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FN, with profitability holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
FN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.94 | +58% |
| Q3 2026 | $13.25 | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.05 | +42% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.63 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.43 | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.70 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.17 | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.98 | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.94 | +29% |
FN has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over FN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
FN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +45% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $978.1M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $909.7M | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $871.8M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $833.6M | +17% |
FN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 51% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.9% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.9% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | +0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.8% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.1% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.6% | -0.1 points |
FN has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
FN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$137.4M | -340% |
| Q2 2026 | -$36.9M | -888% |
| Q1 2026 | -$10.8M | -124% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.3M | -106% |
| Q3 2025 | $57.3M | -8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.7M | -93% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.7M | -48% |
| Q4 2024 | $94M | +26% |
FN has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
FN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -19K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +136K shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -248K shares |
| 5 years | -2.9% | -1.1M shares |
| Available history | -4.1% | -1.5M shares |
FN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.1M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $151,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $4.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $268,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $22.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $34.8M |
| Q2 2024 | $3.5M |
FN spent $34M buying back its own shares over the past year.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
FN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
FN has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
FN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.9 | Oversold |
FN's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FN PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | FN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 4.2% below |
| PE % | 60 | 35 | 25 pts above |
FN is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
FN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $381.8 | 7.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $430.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $508.0 | 30% below |
| 100 week MA | $396.1 | 11% below |
| 200 week MA | $287.6 | 23% above |
FN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 23% above its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over FN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
FN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.6 | $76.1 | +18% |
| 2021 | $76.1 | $118.0 | +55% |
| 2022 | $118.0 | $128.7 | +9% |
| 2023 | $128.7 | $190.3 | +48% |
| 2024 | $190.3 | $219.5 | +15% |
| 2025 | $219.5 | $478.3 | +118% |
| 2026 YTD | $478.3 | $353.8 | -26% |
FN has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 26% so far in 2026.