AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over FKWL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

FKWL

Franklin Wireless Corp.

46
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

FKWL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FKWL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

FKWL's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

FKWL PE Valuation

FKWL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FKWL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FKWL, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FKWL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FKWL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$2.40
Downside-16%$1.69

Calculated from the latest close: $2.01 on Nov 12.

FKWL trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

FKWL Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.16Q4 2023: $-0.19Q1 2024: $-0.31Q2 2024: $-0.34Q3 2024: $-0.28Q4 2024: $-0.20Q1 2025: $-0.15Q2 2025: $-0.02Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.06Q2 2026: $-0.40Forward: $0.33
Q3 2023: $-0.16Q4 2023: $-0.19Q1 2024: $-0.31Q2 2024: $-0.34Q3 2024: $-0.28Q4 2024: $-0.20Q1 2025: $-0.15Q2 2025: $-0.02Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.06Q2 2026: $-0.40Forward: $0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.33—
Q2 2026-$0.40-$0.38
Q1 2026-$0.06+$0.09
Q4 2025$0.02+$0.22
Q3 2025-$0.01+$0.27
Q2 2025-$0.02+$0.32
Q1 2025-$0.15+$0.16
Q4 2024-$0.20-$0.01
Q3 2024-$0.28-$0.12

FKWL has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over FKWL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FKWL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $10MQ4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $8M
Q3 2023: $10MQ4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $8M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$8.4M+21%
Q1 2026$3.4M-57%
Q4 2025$11.9M-33%
Q3 2025$12.7M-4.3%
Q2 2025$6.9M+13%
Q1 2025$8M+30%
Q4 2024$17.8M+101%
Q3 2024$13.3M+38%

FKWL's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $8M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

FKWL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$983,752Q1 2024: −$816,037Q2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: $11,266Q2 2026: −$755,419
Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$983,752Q1 2024: −$816,037Q2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: $11,266Q2 2026: −$755,419
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$755.4K-132%
Q1 2026$11.3K+$5.9M
Q4 2025-$4.1M-249%
Q3 2025-$1.5M-156%
Q2 2025$2.3M-62%
Q1 2025-$5.9M-$5.1M
Q4 2024$2.7M+$3.7M
Q3 2024$2.6M+$7.9M

FKWL has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

FKWL Total Shares

Q3 2023: 12MQ4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12M
Q3 2023: 12MQ4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years+0.4%+47.7K shares
5 years+1.7%+191K shares
Available history+10%+1.1M shares

FKWL has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FKWL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2021-17.9xNet Cash
Q3 2021-3.1xNet Cash
Q2 2021-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2021-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2020-2.9xNet Cash
Q3 2020-2.6xNet Cash
Q2 2020-3.6xNet Cash
Q1 2020-4.5xNet Cash

FKWL has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

FKWL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI21.4Oversold
Stochastic4.0Oversold

FKWL's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FKWL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFKWLSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

FKWL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over FKWL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FKWL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.229.5% below
20 week MA$2.3314% below
50 week MA$3.1636% below
100 week MA$3.9649% below
200 week MA$3.8147% below

FKWL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over FKWL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

FKWL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.44$21.9+799%
2021$21.9$3.65-83%
2022$3.65$4.26+17%
2023$4.26$3.39-20%
2024$3.39$4.84+43%
2025$4.84$4.28-12%
2026 YTD$4.28$2.01-53%

FKWL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +799% in 2020 to −83% in 2021. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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