AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has a slight edge over FIS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
FIS
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc.
FIS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
FIS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
FIS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently strong, but its balance sheet is weak.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
FIS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 4.2x | $28.36 | — |
| Forward | 5.1x | $28.36 | — |
| Cheap | 31x | $207 | +630% |
| Fair | 67x | $447 | +1477% |
| Expensive | 376x | $2,518 | +8780% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FIS's PE is in its cheap range at 4.2x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 5.1x next year's earnings.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over FIS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
FIS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect FIS's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
FIS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.53 | -17% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.70 | +2381% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.51 | +3517% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.16 | +239% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.73 | -72% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.27 | -89% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.18 | -87% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.52 | +$11.75 |
| Q4 2024 | $2.62 | +$13.86 |
FIS has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over FIS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
FIS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.5B | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.4B | +29% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.3B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +8.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +5.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +5.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B | +2.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +3.5% |
FIS's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $3.5B last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | -0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +5.8 points |
FIS has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
FIS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $910M | -4.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $468M | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $663M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $739M | -3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $952M | +139% |
| Q2 2025 | $343M | -5.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $420M | +135% |
| Q4 2024 | $764M | -49% |
FIS has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
FIS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -6M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -75M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -102M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -108M shares |
FIS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23M |
| Q2 2026 | $52M |
| Q1 2026 | $67M |
| Q4 2025 | $293M |
| Q3 2025 | $308M |
| Q2 2025 | $287M |
| Q1 2025 | $537M |
| Q4 2024 | $1B |
FIS spent $435M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 80% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
FIS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
FIS's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.5 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
FIS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 15.9 | Oversold |
FIS's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FIS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | FIS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.2x | 28x | 85% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
FIS is trading at 4.2x earnings, a 85% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over FIS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
FIS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $33.9 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $38.4 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $46.0 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $60.0 | 53% below |
| 200 week MA | $63.5 | 55% below |
FIS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 55% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over FIS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
FIS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.8 | $140.8 | +0.7% |
| 2021 | $140.8 | $109.1 | -23% |
| 2022 | $109.1 | $66.9 | -39% |
| 2023 | $66.9 | $60.1 | -10% |
| 2024 | $60.1 | $81.6 | +36% |
| 2025 | $81.6 | $67.2 | -18% |
| 2026 YTD | $67.2 | $28.4 | -58% |
FIS has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 58% so far in 2026.