AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

FIRY

Firy Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score FIRY yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FIRY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

FIRY's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

FIRY PE Valuation

FIRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FIRY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
--
Limited
--

Analysts expect FIRY's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and FIRY's risk to reward.

FIRY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $12.05 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and FIRY's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

FIRY Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-11.22Q4 2023: $-5.11Q1 2024: $-4.76Q2 2024: $-2.27Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-2.62Q1 2025: $-2.22Q2 2025: $-4.82Q3 2025: $-4.76Q4 2025: $-4.51Q1 2026: $-4.15Q2 2026: $-4.51
Q3 2023: $-11.22Q4 2023: $-5.11Q1 2024: $-4.76Q2 2024: $-2.27Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-2.62Q1 2025: $-2.22Q2 2025: $-4.82Q3 2025: $-4.76Q4 2025: $-4.51Q1 2026: $-4.15Q2 2026: $-4.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$4.51+$0.31
Q1 2026-$4.15-$1.93
Q4 2025-$4.51-$1.89
Q3 2025-$4.76-$2.86
Q2 2025-$4.82-$2.55
Q1 2025-$2.22+$2.54
Q4 2024-$2.62+$2.49
Q3 2024-$1.90+$9.32

FIRY is still losing money, but far less than before: $4.51 per share over the past year, against $21.00 at its worst in late 2022.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over FIRY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FIRY Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $36MQ4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $31M
Q3 2023: $36MQ4 2023: $31MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $31M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$31M+23%
Q1 2026$29.1M+33%
Q4 2025$30M+69%
Q3 2025$27.4M+11%
Q2 2025$25.2M-0.3%
Q1 2025$21.9M-13%
Q4 2024$17.8M-43%
Q3 2024$24.6M-33%

FIRY's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $31M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

FIRY Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$19MQ4 2023: โˆ’$13MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: โˆ’$11MQ4 2024: โˆ’$21MQ1 2025: โˆ’$12MQ2 2025: โˆ’$21MQ3 2025: โˆ’$25MQ4 2025: โˆ’$12MQ1 2026: โˆ’$7MQ2 2026: โˆ’$18M
Q3 2023: โˆ’$19MQ4 2023: โˆ’$13MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: โˆ’$11MQ4 2024: โˆ’$21MQ1 2025: โˆ’$12MQ2 2025: โˆ’$21MQ3 2025: โˆ’$25MQ4 2025: โˆ’$12MQ1 2026: โˆ’$7MQ2 2026: โˆ’$18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$17.6M+$3.8M
Q1 2026-$7.1M+$5M
Q4 2025-$12M+$8.7M
Q3 2025-$24.8M-$13.4M
Q2 2025-$21.5M-178%
Q1 2025-$12.1M-$7.2M
Q4 2024-$20.7M-$7.3M
Q3 2024-$11.4M+$7.5M

FIRY has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

FIRY Total Shares

Q3 2023: 21MQ4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16M
Q3 2023: 21MQ4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+242K shares
1 year+3.8%+583K shares
3 years-23%-4.9M shares
5 years-17%-3.2M shares

FIRY has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FIRY Net Leverage

FIRY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

FIRY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.0Neutral
Stochastic62.7Neutral

FIRY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FIRY PE vs Technology Sector

FIRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

FIRY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.00.2% above
20 week MA$10.515% above
50 week MA$7.3863% above
100 week MA$6.8576% above
200 week MA$7.3664% above

FIRY has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to โˆ’65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

FIRY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$197.0$380.4+93%
2021$380.4$170.2-55%
2022$170.2$10.5-94%
2023$10.5$6.24-41%
2024$6.24$5.21-17%
2025$5.21$4.67-10%
2026 YTD$4.67$12.1+158%

FIRY has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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