AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

FFIV

F5, Inc.

67
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

FFIV has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FFIV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

FFIV's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

FFIV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x49x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x49x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$318—
Cheap23x$286-9.9%
Current25x$318—
Fair27x$342+7.7%
Expensive37x$467+47%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FFIV's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FFIV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FFIV, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails FFIV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FFIV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$420.98
Downside-11%$281.60

Calculated from the latest close: $317.64 on Nov 12.

FFIV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

FFIV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $11.80Q4 2025: $12.08Q1 2026: $12.18Q2 2026: $12.55Q3 2026: $12.53Forward: $18.21
Q3 2025: $11.80Q4 2025: $12.08Q1 2026: $12.18Q2 2026: $12.55Q3 2026: $12.53Forward: $18.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.21+45%
Q3 2026$12.53+6.2%

FFIV has the edge over AAOI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over FFIV on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FFIV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $766MQ1 2025: $731MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $810MQ4 2025: $822MQ1 2026: $812MQ2 2026: $865MQ3 2026: $917M
Q4 2024: $766MQ1 2025: $731MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $810MQ4 2025: $822MQ1 2026: $812MQ2 2026: $865MQ3 2026: $917M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$917.4M+13%
Q2 2026$865.1M+11%
Q1 2026$811.7M+11%
Q4 2025$822.5M+7.3%

FFIV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2025: $917M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

FFIV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $246MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $149MQ1 2026: $348MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $246MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $149MQ1 2026: $348MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$280.6M+2.5%
Q1 2026$347.6M+41%
Q4 2025$149.5M-23%

FFIV and AAOI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

FFIV Total Shares

Q4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 58M
Q4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 58M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+252K shares
1 year-1.6%-942K shares

FFIV has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FFIV Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

FFIV has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

FFIV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.2Neutral
Stochastic3.4Oversold

FFIV's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FFIV PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFFIVSector medianRelative
PE25x28x9% below
PE %30355 pts below

FFIV is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

FFIV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$405.222% below
20 week MA$405.022% below
50 week MA$345.98.2% below
100 week MA$315.30.7% above
200 week MA$244.730% above

FFIV has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over FFIV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

FFIV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.2$175.6+26%
2021$175.6$234.8+34%
2022$234.8$141.0-40%
2023$141.0$179.0+27%
2024$179.0$255.6+43%
2025$255.6$263.1+2.9%
2026 YTD$263.1$317.6+21%

FFIV has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 21% so far in 2026.

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