AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

FATN

FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

FATN has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FATN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable
Healthy

FATN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

FATN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x82x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x82x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9.7x$4.67—
Cheap14x$6.89+47%
Fair25x$12.09+159%
Expensive45x$21.56+362%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FATN's PE is in its cheap range at 9.7x.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FATN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for FATN to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and FATN's risk to reward.

FATN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $4.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and FATN's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

FATN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $0.31Q4 2024: $0.28Q1 2025: $0.11Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.08Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.39Q3 2026: $0.48
Q3 2024: $0.31Q4 2024: $0.28Q1 2025: $0.11Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.08Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.39Q3 2026: $0.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.48+700%
Q2 2026$0.39+255%
Q1 2026$0.35+218%
Q4 2025$0.08-71%
Q3 2025$0.06-81%

FATN has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over FATN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FATN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $5M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $5M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.8M+22%
Q2 2026$5M+28%
Q1 2026$13.6M+330%
Q4 2025$4.1M+30%
Q3 2025$4M+5.6%
Q2 2025$3.9M+4.9%
Q1 2025$3.1M-41%
Q4 2024$3.1M-21%

FATN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $5M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 676% versus its history, compared with FATN at down 1,053%.

FATN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$257,420Q3 2024: $50,245Q4 2024: −$122,723Q1 2025: −$196,986Q2 2025: −$551,053Q3 2025: $399,835Q4 2025: $240,901Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: −$679,047Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$257,420Q3 2024: $50,245Q4 2024: −$122,723Q1 2025: −$196,986Q2 2025: −$551,053Q3 2025: $399,835Q4 2025: $240,901Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: −$679,047Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$679K-$128K
Q4 2025$240.9K+$363.6K
Q3 2025$399.8K+696%
Q2 2025-$551.1K-$293.6K
Q1 2025-$197K-110%
Q4 2024-$122.7K+$1.6M

FATN has burned cash in most quarters: −$589,364 over the past year, against −$526,884 the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

FATN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+35.4K shares
1 year+1.7%+235K shares

FATN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FATN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20240.5xVery low

FATN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

FATN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.4Neutral
Stochastic18.5Oversold

FATN's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FATN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFATNSector medianRelative
PE9.7x28x65% below
PE %22422 pts below

FATN is trading at 9.7x earnings, a 65% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

FATN has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus FATN above 1 of 3.

FATN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.077.9% below
20 week MA$5.4715% below
50 week MA$3.9817% above

FATN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 17% above its 50-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

FATN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$6.36$2.51-61%
2026 YTD$2.51$4.67+86%

FATN has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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