AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over EXOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
EXOD
Exodus Movement, Inc.
EXOD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
EXOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
EXOD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
EXOD PE Valuation
EXOD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
EXOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect EXOD's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the edge over EXOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EXOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.80 | -234% |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.00 | -224% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.26 | -$1.04 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.53 | -112% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.83 | -72% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.42 | -76% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.22 | -102% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.40 | +3000% |
EXOD has swung to a loss: it lost $3.80 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over EXOD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over EXOD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
EXOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $32.5M | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.2M | +1.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.7M | -37% |
| Q4 2025 | $29.4M | -36% |
| Q3 2025 | $30.3M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.8M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $36M | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $46M | +149% |
EXOD's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $33M last quarter, up 7.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -28% | -23 points |
| Q2 2026 | -83% | -53 points |
| Q1 2026 | -39% | +21 points |
| Q4 2025 | -18% | -59 points |
| Q3 2025 | -5% | -4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | -30% | +36 points |
| Q1 2025 | -60% | -291 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +4.8 points |
EXOD's operating margin was −28% last quarter, down 23 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
EXOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$26.3M | -$21.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$49.6M | -$44.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.6M | +$3.6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$9.1M | -$3.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.8M | +$78K |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.4M | -$3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.2M | -2172% |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.3M | -$3M |
EXOD has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
EXOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.6% | +493K shares |
| 1 year | -5.5% | -1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +18% | +4.6M shares |
| 5 years | +21% | +5.3M shares |
| Available history | +34% | +7.8M shares |
EXOD has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $181,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $726,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $2.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $5.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7M |
EXOD spent $5M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 70% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
EXOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -5.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
EXOD has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
EXOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
EXOD's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EXOD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | EXOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
EXOD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over EXOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
EXOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.77 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.04 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.45 | 43% below |
| 100 week MA | $21.5 | 77% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.7 | 67% below |
EXOD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over EXOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
EXOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $25.3 | $21.0 | -17% |
| 2022 | $21.0 | $1.25 | -94% |
| 2023 | $1.25 | $2.30 | +84% |
| 2024 | $2.30 | $40.6 | +1664% |
| 2025 | $40.6 | $15.1 | -63% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.1 | $4.83 | -68% |
EXOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1664% in 2024 to −94% in 2022. It's down 68% so far in 2026.