AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over EGAN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

EGAN

eGain Corporation

46
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

EGAN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

EGAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Unavailable

EGAN's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

EGAN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE91x182x273x364x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE91x182x273x364x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$4.11-33%
Current22x$6.10—
Fair46x$12.76+109%
Expensive67x$18.84+209%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EGAN's PE is 22x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over EGAN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

EGAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect EGAN's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EGAN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EGAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$8.44
Downside-28%$4.40

Calculated from the latest close: $6.10 on Nov 12.

EGAN trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

EGAN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $1.27Q1 2026: $1.36Q2 2026: $0.32Q3 2026: $0.28
Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $1.27Q1 2026: $1.36Q2 2026: $0.32Q3 2026: $0.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.28-77%

EGAN has the edge over AAOI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over EGAN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EGAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$21.9M-7%
Q2 2026$22.2M-4.7%
Q1 2026$22.5M+7.1%
Q4 2025$23M+2.6%

EGAN's revenue has held roughly level: $22M last quarter, down 7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

EGAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$2.3M+$6.9M
Q1 2026-$1.9M-189%
Q4 2025$9.9M+57%

EGAN and AAOI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

EGAN Total Shares

Q4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
Q4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-279K shares
1 year-2.8%-789K shares

EGAN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

EGAN Net Leverage

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

EGAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.7Neutral
Stochastic37.3Neutral

EGAN's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EGAN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricEGANSector medianRelative
PE22x28x22% below
PE %243511 pts below

EGAN is trading at 22x earnings, a 22% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

EGAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.785.5% above
20 week MA$6.252.4% below
50 week MA$7.7421% below
100 week MA$7.4318% below
200 week MA$7.0914% below

EGAN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 14% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over EGAN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

EGAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.11$12.6+55%
2021$12.6$10.2-19%
2022$10.2$8.85-13%
2023$8.85$8.33-5.9%
2024$8.33$6.29-24%
2025$6.29$10.5+67%
2026 YTD$10.5$6.10-42%

EGAN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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