AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over EFOR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
EFOR
Everforth, Inc.
EFOR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
EFOR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
EFOR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
EFOR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8.7x | $35.83 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $22.59 | -37% |
| Fair | 17x | $27.71 | -23% |
| Current | 22x | $35.83 | — |
| Expensive | 23x | $37.43 | +4.5% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EFOR's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.7x, in its cheap range.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over EFOR on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
EFOR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect EFOR's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
EFOR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.13 | +155% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.62 | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.93 | -39% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.25 | -36% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.60 | -32% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.96 | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.15 | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.50 | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.83 | -15% |
EFOR has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over EFOR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
EFOR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $968.3M | 0% |
| Q4 2025 | $980.1M | -0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | -1.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $968.3M | -7.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $985M | -8.3% |
EFOR's revenue has held roughly level: $1B last quarter, up 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.5% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.8% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.8% | -2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.5% | -0.2 points |
EFOR has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
EFOR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $46.5M | -35% |
| Q2 2026 | $46.3M | -60% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.1M | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $93.7M | +5.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $72M | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $115.8M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.6M | -89% |
| Q4 2024 | $88.9M | -19% |
EFOR has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
EFOR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +100K shares |
| 1 year | -5.9% | -2.6M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -7.3M shares |
| 5 years | -23% | -12.3M shares |
| Available history | -23% | -12.3M shares |
EFOR has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $11.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $39M |
| Q4 2025 | $64.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $46M |
| Q2 2025 | $9.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $50.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $43.9M |
EFOR spent $115M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
EFOR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
EFOR's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.9 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
EFOR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.4 | Neutral |
EFOR's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EFOR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | EFOR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 28x | 21% below |
| PE % | 77 | 35 | 42 pts above |
EFOR is trading at 22x earnings, a 21% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
EFOR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.9 | 2.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $31.2 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $34.3 | 4.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $46.5 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $67.2 | 47% below |
EFOR has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over EFOR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
EFOR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $71.2 | $84.1 | +18% |
| 2021 | $84.1 | $120.9 | +44% |
| 2022 | $120.9 | $81.7 | -32% |
| 2023 | $81.7 | $96.2 | +18% |
| 2024 | $96.2 | $83.7 | -13% |
| 2025 | $83.7 | $50.0 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $50.0 | $35.8 | -28% |
EFOR has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 28% so far in 2026.