AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
EEFT
Euronet Worldwide, Inc.
EEFT has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
EEFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
EEFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently stable.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
EEFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.2x | $70.09 | — |
| Cheap | 11x | $68.47 | -2.3% |
| Current | 12x | $70.09 | — |
| Fair | 16x | $98.98 | +41% |
| Expensive | 43x | $261 | +272% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EEFT's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.2x next year's earnings.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over EEFT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
EEFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect EEFT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
EEFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.36 | +88% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.04 | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.26 | -14% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.82 | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.84 | +6% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.83 | -1% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.29 | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.75 | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.45 | +17% |
EEFT has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over EEFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
EEFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +1.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +5.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +4.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +8.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $915.5M | +6.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +9.4% |
EEFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.2B last quarter, up 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.1% | -1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.1% | -2.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.2% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +1.6 points |
EEFT has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
EEFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $199.4M | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $111.9M | -25% |
| Q1 2026 | -$150.5M | -$129M |
| Q4 2025 | $146.3M | +217% |
| Q3 2025 | $161.2M | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | $148.3M | -0.3% |
| Q1 2025 | -$21.5M | -447% |
| Q4 2024 | $46.1M | -58% |
EEFT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
EEFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -415K shares |
| 1 year | +2.1% | +952K shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -5.7M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -8.1M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -9.2M shares |
EEFT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50M |
| Q2 2026 | $47.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $102.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $225.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $131.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $247.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $63.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $51M |
EEFT spent $426M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 14% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
EEFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
EEFT's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
EEFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 53.4 | Neutral |
EEFT's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EEFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | EEFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 28x | 58% below |
| PE % | 19 | 35 | 16 pts below |
EEFT is trading at 12x earnings, a 58% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
EEFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.1 | 6.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $70.6 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $71.0 | 1.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $83.7 | 16% below |
| 200 week MA | $92.9 | 25% below |
EEFT has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 25% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over EEFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
EEFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $158.4 | $143.0 | -9.7% |
| 2021 | $143.0 | $118.6 | -17% |
| 2022 | $118.6 | $92.9 | -22% |
| 2023 | $92.9 | $101.5 | +9.2% |
| 2024 | $101.5 | $104.6 | +3.1% |
| 2025 | $104.6 | $76.6 | -27% |
| 2026 YTD | $76.6 | $70.1 | -8.5% |
EEFT has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 8.5% so far in 2026.