AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

DV

DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.

81
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

DV has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

DV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE208x416x624x832x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE208x416x624x832x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$13.57—
Current34x$13.57—
Cheap38x$15.32+13%
Fair71x$28.23+108%
Expensive132x$52.60+288%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DV's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DV, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails DV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$20.52
Downside-18%$11.17

Calculated from the latest close: $13.57 on Nov 12.

DV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

DV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.41Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.35Q3 2024: $0.37Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.30Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $0.63
Q4 2023: $0.41Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.35Q3 2024: $0.37Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.30Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $0.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.63+59%
Q3 2026$0.40+54%
Q2 2026$0.36+20%
Q1 2026$0.33+14%
Q4 2025$0.30-6.3%
Q3 2025$0.26-30%
Q2 2025$0.30-14%
Q1 2025$0.29-24%
Q4 2024$0.32-22%

DV has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over DV on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $170MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $189MQ4 2025: $206MQ1 2026: $181MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $206M
Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $170MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $189MQ4 2025: $206MQ1 2026: $181MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $206M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$205.6M+9%
Q2 2026$193.8M+2.5%
Q1 2026$180.8M+9.6%
Q4 2025$205.6M+7.9%
Q3 2025$188.6M+11%
Q2 2025$189M+21%
Q1 2025$165.1M+17%
Q4 2024$190.6M+11%

DV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $206M last quarter, up 9% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

DV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $66MQ3 2026: $46M
Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $66MQ3 2026: $46M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$45.7M+17%
Q2 2026$65.7M+64%
Q1 2026-$6.4M-120%
Q4 2025$62.1M+107%
Q3 2025$39M-19%
Q2 2025$40.1M+40%
Q1 2025$31.4M+24%
Q4 2024$30M-37%

DV has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

DV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 176MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 167MQ3 2025: 166MQ4 2025: 167MQ1 2026: 164MQ2 2026: 158MQ3 2026: 160M
Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 176MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 167MQ3 2025: 166MQ4 2025: 167MQ1 2026: 164MQ2 2026: 158MQ3 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+2.4M shares
1 year-3.7%-6.2M shares
3 years-7.9%-13.7M shares
5 years-4%-6.7M shares
Available history+8.8%+12.9M shares

DV has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.5xQ1 2024: -2.5xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -2.5xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.3xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: -2.5xQ1 2024: -2.5xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -2.5xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.3xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

DV has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

DV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.4Neutral
Stochastic91.6Overbought

DV's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 92 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DV PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDVSector medianRelative
PE34x28x22% above
PE %64236 pts below

DV is trading at 34x earnings, a 22% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

DV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.50.4% above
20 week MA$12.95.3% above
50 week MA$11.419% above
100 week MA$13.13.4% above
200 week MA$20.634% below

DV has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over DV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

DV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$34.2$32.8-4.3%
2022$32.8$21.8-33%
2023$21.8$36.8+69%
2024$36.8$19.6-47%
2025$19.6$11.5-41%
2026 YTD$11.5$13.6+18%

DV has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

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