AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
DSP
Viant Technology Inc.
DSP has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
DSP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
DSP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
DSP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 33x | $9.44 | -19% |
| Current | 40x | $11.59 | — |
| Forward | 52x | $11.59 | — |
| Fair | 83x | $24.08 | +108% |
| Expensive | 112x | $32.49 | +180% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DSP's PE is in its fair range at 40x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 52x.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over DSP on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
DSP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect DSP's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
DSP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.22 | -24% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.29 | +142% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.35 | +133% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.40 | +208% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.36 | +157% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.12 | +71% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.15 | +$0.20 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.13 | +$0.25 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.14 | +$0.37 |
DSP has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over DSP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
DSP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $110.4M | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $104.3M | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $88.5M | +25% |
| Q4 2025 | $110.1M | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $85.6M | +7.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $77.9M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $90.1M | +40% |
DSP's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $110M last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7% | -3.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.7% | -3.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.5% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.9% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.5% | +5.2 points |
DSP has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
DSP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.1M | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $27.6M | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6M | +$7.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $33M | +103% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8M | -83% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.5M | +53% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.6M | -238% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.3M | -29% |
DSP has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
DSP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -67% | -44M shares |
| 1 year | +6.6% | +1.3M shares |
| 3 years | +40% | +6.1M shares |
DSP has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
DSP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -5.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -7.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -7.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -8.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -10.3x | Net Cash |
DSP has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
DSP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 55.0 | Neutral |
DSP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
DSP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DSP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 43% above |
| PE % | 34 | 40 | 6 pts below |
DSP is trading at 40x earnings, a 43% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
DSP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.7 | 8.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $12.6 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.8 | 1.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.8 | 9.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $10.4 | 12% above |
DSP has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 12% above its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over DSP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
DSP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $65.5 | $10.2 | -84% |
| 2022 | $10.2 | $3.78 | -63% |
| 2023 | $3.78 | $6.89 | +82% |
| 2024 | $6.89 | $19.2 | +179% |
| 2025 | $19.2 | $12.0 | -38% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.0 | $11.6 | -3.3% |
DSP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +179% in 2024 to −84% in 2021. It's down 3.3% so far in 2026.