AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

DRK

Sphere 3D Corp.

There isn't enough reported data to score DRK yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DRK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

DRK's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DRK PE Valuation

DRK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DRK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for DRK to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and DRK's risk to reward.

DRK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.66 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and DRK's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

DRK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-22.30Q1 2024: $-21.50Q2 2024: $-16.10Q3 2024: $-11.05Q4 2024: $-4.80Q1 2025: $-5.30Q2 2025: $-5.70Q3 2025: $-7.25Q4 2025: $-7.37Q1 2026: $-5.35Q2 2026: $-8.63Q3 2026: $-7.78
Q4 2023: $-22.30Q1 2024: $-21.50Q2 2024: $-16.10Q3 2024: $-11.05Q4 2024: $-4.80Q1 2025: $-5.30Q2 2025: $-5.70Q3 2025: $-7.25Q4 2025: $-7.37Q1 2026: $-5.35Q2 2026: $-8.63Q3 2026: $-7.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$7.78-$0.53
Q2 2026-$8.63-$2.93
Q1 2026-$5.35-$0.05
Q4 2025-$7.37-$2.57
Q3 2025-$7.25+$3.80
Q2 2025-$5.70+$10.40
Q1 2025-$5.30+$16.20
Q4 2024-$4.80+$17.50

DRK is still losing money, but far less than before: $7.78 per share over the past year, against $22.30 at its worst in late 2023.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over DRK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DRK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3M+16%
Q2 2026$2.5M-19%
Q1 2026$1.9M-32%
Q4 2025$2.7M+3.1%
Q3 2025$2.6M+11%
Q2 2025$3M-35%
Q1 2025$2.8M-59%
Q4 2024$2.6M-66%

DRK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $3M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

DRK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$558,000Q1 2024: โˆ’$58,000Q2 2024: โˆ’$3MQ3 2024: โˆ’$4MQ4 2024: โˆ’$6MQ1 2025: โˆ’$5MQ2 2025: โˆ’$6MQ3 2025: โˆ’$6MQ4 2025: โˆ’$7MQ1 2026: โˆ’$4MQ2 2026: โˆ’$5MQ3 2026: โˆ’$4M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$558,000Q1 2024: โˆ’$58,000Q2 2024: โˆ’$3MQ3 2024: โˆ’$4MQ4 2024: โˆ’$6MQ1 2025: โˆ’$5MQ2 2025: โˆ’$6MQ3 2025: โˆ’$6MQ4 2025: โˆ’$7MQ1 2026: โˆ’$4MQ2 2026: โˆ’$5MQ3 2026: โˆ’$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.5M+$1.3M
Q2 2026-$5.3M+$745K
Q1 2026-$3.7M+$1.4M
Q4 2025-$6.7M-$904K
Q3 2025-$5.7M-$1.4M
Q2 2025-$6.1M-$2.8M
Q1 2025-$5.1M-$5M
Q4 2024-$5.8M-$5.3M

DRK has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over DRK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DRK Total Shares

Q1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 9M
Q1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 9M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+71%+3.7M shares
1 year+219%+6.1M shares
3 years+8805%+8.7M shares

DRK has 9M diluted shares, up 219% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DRK Net Leverage

DRK's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

DRK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.7Neutral
Stochastic5.2Oversold

DRK's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DRK PE vs Technology Sector

DRK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over DRK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DRK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.1824% below
20 week MA$2.2627% below
50 week MA$2.3429% below
100 week MA$4.6164% below
200 week MA$10.885% below

DRK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 85% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over DRK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

DRK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.2$109.2+113%
2021$109.2$247.8+127%
2022$247.8$21.0-92%
2023$21.0$33.2+58%
2024$33.2$9.61-71%
2025$9.61$3.61-62%
2026 YTD$3.61$1.66-54%

DRK's yearly returns have swung widely, from +127% in 2021 to โˆ’92% in 2022. It's down 54% so far in 2026.

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