AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over DQ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

DQ

Daqo New Energy Corp.

42
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

DQ has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

DQ's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DQ PE Valuation

DQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect DQ's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DQ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$16.36
Downside-30%$8.04

Calculated from the latest close: $11.43 on Nov 12.

DQ trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

DQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.46Q1 2024: $2.15Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-1.81Q4 2024: $-5.17Q1 2025: $-6.50Q2 2025: $-5.85Q3 2025: $-5.17Q4 2025: $-2.57Q1 2026: $-2.78Q2 2026: $-2.83Q3 2026: $-3.41
Q4 2023: $5.46Q1 2024: $2.15Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-1.81Q4 2024: $-5.17Q1 2025: $-6.50Q2 2025: $-5.85Q3 2025: $-5.17Q4 2025: $-2.57Q1 2026: $-2.78Q2 2026: $-2.83Q3 2026: $-3.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.41+$1.76
Q2 2026-$2.83+$3.02
Q1 2026-$2.78+$3.72
Q4 2025-$2.57+$2.60
Q3 2025-$5.17-$3.36
Q2 2025-$5.85-$4.85
Q1 2025-$6.50-402%
Q4 2024-$5.17-195%

DQ is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $3.41 per share over the past year, against $6.50 at its worst in early 2025.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over DQ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $480MQ1 2024: $415MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $245MQ4 2025: $222MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $195M
Q4 2023: $480MQ1 2024: $415MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $245MQ4 2025: $222MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $195M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$194.7M-21%
Q2 2026$62.8M-17%
Q1 2026$26.7M-78%
Q4 2025$221.7M+13%
Q3 2025$244.9M+23%
Q2 2025$75.5M-66%
Q1 2025$123.9M-70%
Q4 2024$195.4M-59%

DQ's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $195M last quarter, down 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

DQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$992MQ1 2024: −$296MQ2 2024: −$274MQ3 2024: −$132MQ4 2024: −$92MQ1 2025: −$97MQ2 2025: −$97MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: −$176MQ2 2026: −$155MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: −$992MQ1 2024: −$296MQ2 2024: −$274MQ3 2024: −$132MQ4 2024: −$92MQ1 2025: −$97MQ2 2025: −$97MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: −$176MQ2 2026: −$155MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$31.2M+35%
Q2 2026-$155.3M-$58.1M
Q1 2026-$176.2M-$79.7M
Q4 2025$47M+$139.4M
Q3 2025$23.1M+$154.6M
Q2 2025-$97.2M+$176.9M
Q1 2025-$96.5M+$199.8M
Q4 2024-$92.5M+$899.7M

DQ has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

DQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 68MQ3 2026: 68M
Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 68MQ3 2026: 68M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.2%+119K shares
3 years-8.6%-6.4M shares
5 years-12%-9M shares
Available history-5.2%-3.7M shares

DQ has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DQ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.1xQ1 2024: -4.8xQ2 2024: -5.5xQ3 2024: -13.5xQ4 2025: -88.8x
Q4 2023: -3.1xQ1 2024: -4.8xQ2 2024: -5.5xQ3 2024: -13.5xQ4 2025: -88.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-88.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-13.5xNet Cash
Q2 2024-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2024-4.8xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.1xNet Cash
Q3 2023-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2023-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2023-1.4xNet Cash

DQ has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

DQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic32.4Neutral

DQ's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DQ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDQSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

DQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

DQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.13.1% above
20 week MA$12.15.5% below
50 week MA$18.538% below
100 week MA$19.742% below
200 week MA$24.153% below

DQ has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 53% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over DQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

DQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.3$54.8+430%
2021$54.8$38.9-29%
2022$38.9$40.5+4.1%
2023$40.5$26.6-34%
2024$26.6$19.3-28%
2025$19.3$31.8+65%
2026 YTD$31.8$11.4-64%

DQ has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 64% so far in 2026.

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