AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

DMRC

Digimarc Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score DMRC yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DMRC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

DMRC's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DMRC PE Valuation

DMRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DMRC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Stable
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect DMRC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and DMRC's risk to reward.

DMRC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.43 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and DMRC's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over DMRC in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

DMRC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $-1.71Q4 2025: $-1.49Q1 2026: $-1.26Q2 2026: $-1.42Q3 2026: $-1.40
Q3 2025: $-1.71Q4 2025: $-1.49Q1 2026: $-1.26Q2 2026: $-1.42Q3 2026: $-1.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.40+$0.31

DMRC is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.40 per share over the past year, against $1.71 at its worst in late 2025.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over DMRC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DMRC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.4M-15%
Q2 2026$7.4M-7.8%
Q1 2026$7.6M-19%
Q4 2025$8.9M+2.9%

DMRC's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $6M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

DMRC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$6MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: $895,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$6MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: $895,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$1.9M+$3.7M
Q4 2025$895K+$5.1M

DMRC and AAOI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

DMRC Total Shares

Q4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22M
Q4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+260K shares
1 year+3.1%+660K shares

DMRC has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DMRC Net Leverage

DMRC's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

DMRC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic74.1Neutral

DMRC's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DMRC PE vs Technology Sector

DMRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

DMRC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.937.2% above
20 week MA$6.5713% above
50 week MA$7.203.2% above
100 week MA$11.938% below
200 week MA$20.464% below

DMRC has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over DMRC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

DMRC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.1$50.8+53%
2021$50.8$42.9-15%
2022$42.9$18.9-56%
2023$18.9$36.1+92%
2024$36.1$38.0+5.2%
2025$38.0$6.83-82%
2026 YTD$6.83$7.43+8.8%

DMRC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 8.8% so far in 2026.

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