AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DLB

Dolby Laboratories, Inc.

61
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

DLB has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

DLB's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DLB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x48x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x48x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$64.59—
Cheap27x$62.50-3.2%
Current28x$64.59—
Fair32x$74.76+16%
Expensive40x$94.26+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DLB's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over DLB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

DLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect DLB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$75.82
Downside-19%$52.20

Calculated from the latest close: $64.59 on Nov 12.

DLB trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

DLB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.05Q4 2023: $1.92Q1 2024: $1.95Q2 2024: $2.18Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.70Q1 2025: $2.63Q2 2025: $2.71Q3 2025: $2.62Q4 2025: $2.47Q1 2026: $2.52Q2 2026: $2.34Forward: $4.58
Q3 2023: $2.05Q4 2023: $1.92Q1 2024: $1.95Q2 2024: $2.18Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.70Q1 2025: $2.63Q2 2025: $2.71Q3 2025: $2.62Q4 2025: $2.47Q1 2026: $2.52Q2 2026: $2.34Forward: $4.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.58+96%
Q2 2026$2.34-14%
Q1 2026$2.52-4.2%
Q4 2025$2.47-8.5%
Q3 2025$2.62-2.6%
Q2 2025$2.71+24%
Q1 2025$2.63+35%
Q4 2024$2.70+41%
Q3 2024$2.69+31%

DLB has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over DLB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DLB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $291MQ4 2023: $316MQ1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $289MQ3 2024: $305MQ4 2024: $357MQ1 2025: $370MQ2 2025: $316MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $347MQ1 2026: $396MQ2 2026: $305M
Q3 2023: $291MQ4 2023: $316MQ1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $289MQ3 2024: $305MQ4 2024: $357MQ1 2025: $370MQ2 2025: $316MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $347MQ1 2026: $396MQ2 2026: $305M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$305M-3.3%
Q1 2026$395.6M+7.1%
Q4 2025$346.7M-2.9%
Q3 2025$307M+0.7%
Q2 2025$315.5M+9.3%
Q1 2025$369.6M+1.4%
Q4 2024$357M+13%
Q3 2024$304.8M+4.9%

DLB's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $305M last quarter, down 3.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

DLB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $77MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $172MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $83MQ2 2026: $152M
Q3 2023: $77MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $172MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $83MQ2 2026: $152M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$152.5M+149%
Q1 2026$83.4M-50%
Q4 2025$50.2M-50%
Q3 2025$106.6M-2%
Q2 2025$61.3M+349%
Q1 2025$168M-2.6%
Q4 2024$100M+4229%
Q3 2024$108.8M+42%

DLB has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

DLB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 98MQ4 2023: 97MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 97MQ1 2025: 97MQ2 2025: 97MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 95M
Q3 2023: 98MQ4 2023: 97MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 97MQ1 2025: 97MQ2 2025: 97MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 95M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-997K shares
1 year-2.5%-2.4M shares
3 years-3%-2.9M shares
5 years-9.7%-10.1M shares
Available history-8.2%-8.4M shares

DLB has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DLB Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -2.5xQ4 2023: -2.4xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.6xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -2.0x
Q3 2023: -2.5xQ4 2023: -2.4xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.6xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.4xNet Cash

DLB has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

DLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.5Neutral
Stochastic78.1Neutral

DLB's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DLB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDLBSector medianRelative
PE28x28x0.9% below
PE %223513 pts below

DLB is trading at 28x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

DLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.35.4% above
20 week MA$59.29.1% above
50 week MA$60.37.1% above
100 week MA$67.54.4% below
200 week MA$74.313% below

DLB has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over DLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

DLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$68.3$95.3+39%
2021$95.3$92.7-2.7%
2022$92.7$69.2-25%
2023$69.2$86.2+24%
2024$86.2$78.5-8.9%
2025$78.5$65.7-16%
2026 YTD$65.7$64.6-1.7%

DLB has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 1.7% so far in 2026.

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