AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DGII

Digi International Inc.

68
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

DGII has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DGII Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

DGII's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DGII PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x84x112x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x84x112x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$58.44—
Cheap38x$52.34-10%
Current42x$58.44—
Fair58x$80.00+37%
Expensive71x$97.42+67%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DGII's PE is 42x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DGII Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DGII, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DGII, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DGII Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$78.12
Downside-24%$44.18

Calculated from the latest close: $58.44 on Nov 12.

DGII trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

DGII Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.13Q2 2026: $1.26Q3 2026: $1.38Forward: $3.17
Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.13Q2 2026: $1.26Q3 2026: $1.38Forward: $3.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.17+130%
Q3 2026$1.38+28%

DGII has the edge over AAOI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over DGII on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DGII Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $104MQ1 2025: $105MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $122MQ1 2026: $131MQ2 2026: $139MQ3 2026: $143M
Q4 2024: $104MQ1 2025: $105MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $122MQ1 2026: $131MQ2 2026: $139MQ3 2026: $143M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$143.3M+25%
Q2 2026$138.7M+29%
Q1 2026$130.7M+25%
Q4 2025$122.5M+18%

DGII's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2025: $143M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

DGII Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$32.5M+41%
Q1 2026$40.8M+59%
Q4 2025$35.2M+21%

DGII and AAOI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

DGII Total Shares

Q4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39M
Q4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+437K shares
1 year+3.4%+1.3M shares

DGII has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DGII Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.0xVery low
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xModerate
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

DGII's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

DGII Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.9Neutral
Stochastic20.9Neutral

DGII's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DGII PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDGIISector medianRelative
PE42x28x52% above
PE %233512 pts below

DGII is trading at 42x earnings, a 52% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

DGII Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$71.118% below
20 week MA$71.919% below
50 week MA$60.43.3% below
100 week MA$46.725% above
200 week MA$38.353% above

DGII has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over DGII on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

DGII Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.4$19.7+13%
2021$19.7$24.8+26%
2022$24.8$37.2+50%
2023$37.2$26.0-30%
2024$26.0$30.4+17%
2025$30.4$44.5+46%
2026 YTD$44.5$58.4+31%

DGII has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 31% so far in 2026.

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