AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

DDOG

Datadog, Inc.

83
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

DDOG has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DDOG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

DDOG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DDOG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2520x5041x7561x10082x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2520x5041x7561x10082x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward62x$184—
Cheap251x$181-2.1%
Current256x$184—
Fair379x$273+48%
Expensive621x$447+142%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DDOG's PE is in its cheap range at 256x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 62x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over DDOG on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

DDOG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DDOG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails DDOG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DDOG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$358.84
Downside-17%$153.66

Calculated from the latest close: $184.46 on Nov 12.

DDOG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

DDOG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.14Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.47Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $2.99
Q4 2023: $0.14Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.47Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $2.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.99+315%
Q3 2026$0.72+125%
Q2 2026$0.50+39%
Q1 2026$0.39-17%
Q4 2025$0.31-40%
Q3 2025$0.32-42%
Q2 2025$0.36-23%
Q1 2025$0.47+38%
Q4 2024$0.52+271%

DDOG has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over DDOG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DDOG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $611MQ2 2024: $645MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $738MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $827MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $953MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $611MQ2 2024: $645MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $738MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $827MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $953MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+35%
Q2 2026$1.1B+36%
Q1 2026$1B+32%
Q4 2025$953.2M+29%
Q3 2025$885.7M+28%
Q2 2025$826.8M+28%
Q1 2025$761.6M+25%
Q4 2024$737.7M+25%

DDOG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.2B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

DDOG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $220MQ4 2024: $257MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $323MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $279M
Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $220MQ4 2024: $257MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $323MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $279M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$279.1M+19%
Q2 2026$306M+65%
Q1 2026$323.3M+23%
Q4 2025$318.2M+24%
Q3 2025$234.7M+6.5%
Q2 2025$184.9M+16%
Q1 2025$262.8M+33%
Q4 2024$257.5M+23%

DDOG has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

DDOG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 356MQ2 2024: 357MQ3 2024: 358MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 359MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 375M
Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 356MQ2 2024: 357MQ3 2024: 358MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 359MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 375M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+4M shares
1 year+3.6%+13M shares
3 years+6.7%+23.7M shares
5 years+21%+64.8M shares
Available history+14%+47.2M shares

DDOG has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DDOG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 192.8xQ1 2024: 8.9xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 6.9xQ2 2025: 16.5xQ3 2025: 94.8xQ4 2025: 123.2xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 192.8xQ1 2024: 8.9xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 6.9xQ2 2025: 16.5xQ3 2025: 94.8xQ4 2025: 123.2xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20267.0xHigh
Q1 202618.2xHigh
Q4 2025123.2xHigh
Q3 202594.8xHigh
Q2 202516.5xHigh
Q1 20256.9xHigh
Q4 20243.6xElevated

DDOG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

DDOG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic16.7Oversold

DDOG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DDOG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDDOGSector medianRelative
PE256x28x820% above
PE %193516 pts below

DDOG is trading at 256x earnings, a 820% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

DDOG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$244.324% below
20 week MA$243.624% below
50 week MA$189.32.6% below
100 week MA$161.114% above
200 week MA$134.537% above

DDOG has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over DDOG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

DDOG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$106.3+194%
2021$106.3$180.4+70%
2022$180.4$72.4-60%
2023$72.4$121.4+68%
2024$121.4$146.0+20%
2025$146.0$138.3-5.3%
2026 YTD$138.3$184.5+33%

DDOG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +194% in 2020 to −60% in 2022. It's up 33% so far in 2026.

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