AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

DDI

DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd.

There isn't enough reported data to score DDI yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DDI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Unavailable
Strong

DDI's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DDI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.1x$182+1061%
Fair5.2x$234+1391%
Expensive6.3x$281+1688%
Current7x$15.70โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DDI's PE is 7.0x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over DDI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

DDI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect DDI's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and DDI's risk to reward.

DDI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $15.70 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and DDI's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

DDI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus DDI up 32%.

DDI Earnings Per Share

Q2 2023: $-68.77Q4 2023: $40.72Q1 2024: $43.40Q2 2024: $46.96Q3 2024: $46.20Q4 2024: $36.46Q1 2025: $33.85Q2 2025: $29.28Q3 2025: $32.38Q4 2025: $41.37Q3 2026: $44.68
Q2 2023: $-68.77Q4 2023: $40.72Q1 2024: $43.40Q2 2024: $46.96Q3 2024: $46.20Q4 2024: $36.46Q1 2025: $33.85Q2 2025: $29.28Q3 2025: $32.38Q4 2025: $41.37Q3 2026: $44.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$44.68+38%
Q4 2025$41.37+13%
Q3 2025$32.38-30%
Q2 2025$29.28-38%
Q1 2025$33.85-22%
Q4 2024$36.46-10%
Q2 2024$46.96+$115.73
Q4 2023$40.72+$135.15

DDI earned $44.68 per share over the past year, up 32% from the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

DDI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 127% for AAOI versus up 239% for DDI.

DDI Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2023: $75MQ3 2023: $73MQ4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $96MQ3 2026: $283M
Q2 2023: $75MQ3 2023: $73MQ4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $96MQ3 2026: $283M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$282.7M+195%
Q4 2025$95.8M+17%
Q3 2025$95.8M+16%
Q2 2025$84.8M-3.9%
Q1 2025$83.5M-5.3%
Q4 2024$82M-1.4%
Q3 2024$83M+14%
Q2 2024$88.2M+17%

DDI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $283M last quarter, up 239% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

DDI has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 47% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.

DDI Free Cash Flow

Q2 2023: โˆ’$57MQ3 2023: $29MQ4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $43MQ3 2026: $94M
Q2 2023: โˆ’$57MQ3 2023: $29MQ4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $43MQ3 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$94.5M+184%
Q4 2025$42.6M-8.8%
Q3 2025$33.3M+5.5%
Q2 2025$19.7M-43%
Q1 2025$41M+17%
Q4 2024$46.7M+57%
Q3 2024$31.6M+10%
Q2 2024$34.4M+$91.3M

DDI generated $190M in free cash flow over the past year, up 24% from the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

DDI Total Shares

Q2 2023: 2MQ3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 2MQ4 2025: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
Q2 2023: 2MQ3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 2MQ4 2025: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years0%--
5 years-95%-47.1M shares

DDI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DDI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.4xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -2.3xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ3 2026: -3.0x
Q4 2023: -1.4xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -2.3xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ3 2026: -3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.7xNet Cash

DDI has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

DDI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI81.5Overbought
Stochastic81.2Overbought

DDI's weekly RSI is 81 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DDI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDDISector medianRelative
PE7x28x75% below
PE %904545 pts above

DDI is trading at 7.0x earnings, a 75% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

DDI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.714% above
20 week MA$12.823% above
50 week MA$10.944% above
100 week MA$10.353% above
200 week MA$10.450% above

DDI has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to โˆ’65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

DDI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$16.2$14.4-11%
2022$14.4$9.09-37%
2023$9.09$7.35-19%
2024$7.35$10.3+39%
2025$10.3$8.59-16%
2026 YTD$8.59$15.7+83%

DDI has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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