AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DCBO

Docebo Inc.

73
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

DCBO has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DCBO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

DCBO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DCBO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE266x532x798x1064x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE266x532x798x1064x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$32.48—
Cheap23x$26.30-19%
Current28x$32.48—
Fair75x$86.97+168%
Expensive222x$257+692%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DCBO's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DCBO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DCBO, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DCBO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DCBO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$41.11
Downside-30%$22.85

Calculated from the latest close: $32.48 on Nov 12.

DCBO trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

DCBO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.05Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.21Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.57Q4 2024: $0.86Q1 2025: $0.74Q2 2025: $0.69Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $1.29Q1 2026: $1.18Q2 2026: $1.16Forward: $1.71
Q3 2023: $0.05Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.21Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.57Q4 2024: $0.86Q1 2025: $0.74Q2 2025: $0.69Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $1.29Q1 2026: $1.18Q2 2026: $1.16Forward: $1.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.71+47%
Q2 2026$1.16+68%
Q1 2026$1.18+59%
Q4 2025$1.29+50%
Q3 2025$0.74+30%
Q2 2025$0.69+30%
Q1 2025$0.74+252%
Q4 2024$0.86+975%
Q3 2024$0.57+1040%

DCBO has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over DCBO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DCBO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $47MQ4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $69M
Q3 2023: $47MQ4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $69M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$68.7M+13%
Q1 2026$65.6M+15%
Q4 2025$63M+11%
Q3 2025$61.6M+11%
Q2 2025$60.7M+14%
Q1 2025$57.3M+11%
Q4 2024$57M+16%
Q3 2024$55.4M+19%

DCBO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $69M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

DCBO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: −$3M
Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.2M-154%
Q1 2026$24M+214%
Q4 2025$8.6M-9.3%
Q3 2025$5.1M+31%
Q2 2025$6M-8%
Q1 2025$7.6M-7%
Q4 2024$9.4M+52%
Q3 2024$3.9M-37%

DCBO has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

DCBO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 34MQ4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27M
Q3 2023: 34MQ4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.6%-1.3M shares
1 year-11%-3.4M shares
3 years-19%-6.4M shares
5 years-18%-6M shares
Available history-5.8%-1.7M shares

DCBO has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DCBO Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -4.7xQ3 2024: -4.2xQ2 2025: -2.8xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.6xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 2.0x
Q2 2024: -4.7xQ3 2024: -4.2xQ2 2025: -2.8xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.6xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.0xHealthy
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-4.7xNet Cash

DCBO's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

DCBO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.1Overbought
Stochastic85.1Overbought

DCBO's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DCBO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDCBOSector medianRelative
PE28x28x0.3% above
PE %223917 pts below

DCBO is trading at 28x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

DCBO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.717% above
20 week MA$24.334% above
50 week MA$21.154% above
100 week MA$26.224% above
200 week MA$34.04.5% below

DCBO has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

DCBO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.1$57.7+15%
2021$57.7$68.1+18%
2022$68.1$31.9-53%
2023$31.9$48.4+51%
2024$48.4$45.7-5.6%
2025$45.7$22.2-51%
2026 YTD$22.2$32.5+46%

DCBO has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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