AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over DAIO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

DAIO

Data I/O Corporation

42
Fundamentals15/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

DAIO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DAIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Strong

DAIO's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are weak.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DAIO PE Valuation

DAIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DAIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect DAIO to return to profit, with revenue growing.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DAIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DAIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$3.80
Downside-30%$1.85

Calculated from the latest close: $2.64 on Nov 12.

DAIO trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over DAIO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DAIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.09Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.17Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.29Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $-0.40Q4 2025: $-0.56Q1 2026: $-0.86Q2 2026: $-0.95Forward: $0.08
Q3 2023: $0.09Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.17Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.29Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $-0.40Q4 2025: $-0.56Q1 2026: $-0.86Q2 2026: $-0.95Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08—
Q2 2026-$0.95-$0.67
Q1 2026-$0.86-$0.57
Q4 2025-$0.56-$0.22
Q3 2025-$0.40-$0.21
Q2 2025-$0.28-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.29-$0.24
Q4 2024-$0.34-780%
Q3 2024-$0.19-311%

DAIO lost $0.95 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over DAIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DAIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $7MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $5M
Q3 2023: $7MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $5M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$5.1M-13%
Q1 2026$3.3M-47%
Q4 2025$4M-23%
Q3 2025$5.4M-0.6%
Q2 2025$5.9M+18%
Q1 2025$6.2M+1.3%
Q4 2024$5.2M-25%
Q3 2024$5.4M-17%

DAIO's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $5M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

DAIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $66,000Q4 2023: $262,000Q1 2024: −$180,000Q2 2024: −$268,000Q3 2024: $724,000Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $53,000Q2 2025: −$633,000Q3 2025: −$348,000Q4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$3M
Q3 2023: $66,000Q4 2023: $262,000Q1 2024: −$180,000Q2 2024: −$268,000Q3 2024: $724,000Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $53,000Q2 2025: −$633,000Q3 2025: −$348,000Q4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.2M-$2.5M
Q1 2026-$2.2M-4317%
Q4 2025-$1.9M-$119K
Q3 2025-$348K-148%
Q2 2025-$633K-$365K
Q1 2025$53K+$233K
Q4 2024-$1.7M-763%
Q3 2024$724K+997%

DAIO has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

DAIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 10M
Q3 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 10M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.9%+179K shares
1 year+4.6%+422K shares
3 years+9.9%+863K shares

DAIO has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DAIO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -8.0xQ4 2023: -6.3xQ1 2024: -169.0x
Q3 2023: -8.0xQ4 2023: -6.3xQ1 2024: -169.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2024-169.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-6.3xNet Cash
Q3 2023-8.0xNet Cash
Q2 2023-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2023-8.7xNet Cash
Q4 2021-36.0xNet Cash
Q3 2019-21.7xNet Cash

DAIO has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

DAIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic14.5Oversold

DAIO's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DAIO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDAIOSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

DAIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

DAIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.640% above
20 week MA$2.919.3% below
50 week MA$3.0012% below
100 week MA$2.939.9% below
200 week MA$3.2018% below

DAIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over DAIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

DAIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.01$4.48+12%
2021$4.48$4.49+0.2%
2022$4.49$3.79-16%
2023$3.79$2.94-22%
2024$2.94$2.76-6.1%
2025$2.76$3.22+17%
2026 YTD$3.22$2.64-18%

DAIO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

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