AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has a slight edge over CXM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
CXM
Sprinklr, Inc.
CXM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CXM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
CXM's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
CXM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $6.65 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $1.84 | -72% |
| Fair | 47x | $4.69 | -29% |
| Current | 67x | $6.65 | — |
| Expensive | 102x | $10.23 | +54% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CXM's PE is in its expensive range at 67x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over CXM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
CXM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect CXM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
CXM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.53 | +431% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.10 | -77% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.12 | -69% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.09 | -80% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.40 | +150% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.43 | +139% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.39 | +86% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.44 | +144% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.16 | +45% |
CXM has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over CXM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
CXM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $213.7M | +0.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $219.5M | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $220.6M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $219.1M | +9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $212M | +7.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $205.5M | +4.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $202.5M | +4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $200.7M | +7.7% |
CXM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $214M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.7% | -3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.4% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.3% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.7% | +7.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8% | -3.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9% | -3.1 points |
CXM has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
CXM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.8M | -48% |
| Q2 2026 | $70M | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.1M | +341% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.8M | +141% |
| Q3 2025 | $34.4M | +74% |
| Q2 2025 | $83.5M | +113% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6M | -70% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.2M | -57% |
CXM has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
CXM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.2% | -5.3M shares |
| 1 year | -9.6% | -25.4M shares |
| 3 years | -16% | -46M shares |
| 5 years | -5% | -12.6M shares |
| Available history | +2.8% | +6.4M shares |
CXM has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $796,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $125M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $11.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $140.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
CXM spent $137M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 2.6% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CXM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
CXM has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
CXM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 55.9 | Neutral |
CXM's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CXM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CXM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 67x | 28x | 139% above |
| PE % | 77 | 43 | 34 pts above |
CXM is trading at 67x earnings, a 139% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
CXM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.05 | 9.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $6.16 | 8% above |
| 50 week MA | $6.10 | 9% above |
| 100 week MA | $7.15 | 7% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.36 | 29% below |
CXM has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over CXM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
CXM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $20.5 | $16.0 | -22% |
| 2022 | $16.0 | $7.84 | -51% |
| 2023 | $7.84 | $12.0 | +54% |
| 2024 | $12.0 | $8.53 | -29% |
| 2025 | $8.53 | $7.72 | -9.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.72 | $6.65 | -14% |
CXM has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.