AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CVLT
Commvault Systems, Inc.
CVLT has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CVLT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
CVLT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
CVLT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 29x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 41x | $78.75 | -53% |
| Current | 87x | $166 | — |
| Fair | 91x | $175 | +5.5% |
| Expensive | 123x | $236 | +42% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CVLT's PE is in its fair range at 87x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CVLT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVLT, with profitability improving.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
CVLT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.73 | +199% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.92 | +8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.56 | -13% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.58 | -6% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.93 | -49% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.77 | -55% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.79 | -54% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.68 | -55% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.80 | +$3.82 |
CVLT has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over CVLT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
CVLT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $312.4M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $314.1M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.7M | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $313.8M | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $276.2M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $282M | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $275M | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $262.6M | +21% |
CVLT's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $312M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.7% | +5.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.2% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.3% | -4.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.3% | +1.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.5% | -1.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.9% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.7% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.2% | -4.5 points |
CVLT has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
CVLT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $70.9M | -3.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $51.1M | +71% |
| Q1 2026 | $131.8M | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9M | -94% |
| Q3 2025 | $73.6M | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $29.8M | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | $76.2M | -3.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $29.9M | -30% |
CVLT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
CVLT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +352K shares |
| 1 year | -6.6% | -3M shares |
| 3 years | -6% | -2.7M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -5.4M shares |
| Available history | -8.3% | -3.8M shares |
CVLT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $107.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $10.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $259.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $40.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $131M |
| Q2 2025 | $15.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $29.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $31.9M |
CVLT spent $418M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 101% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CVLT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
CVLT has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
CVLT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 79.8 | Neutral |
CVLT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CVLT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CVLT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 87x | 28x | 211% above |
| PE % | 43 | 35 | 8 pts above |
CVLT is trading at 87x earnings, a 211% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
CVLT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $157.7 | 5.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $146.7 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $121.8 | 36% above |
| 100 week MA | $143.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $119.8 | 39% above |
CVLT has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over CVLT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
CVLT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $44.9 | $57.2 | +27% |
| 2021 | $57.2 | $68.1 | +19% |
| 2022 | $68.1 | $62.7 | -8.1% |
| 2023 | $62.7 | $79.9 | +27% |
| 2024 | $79.9 | $153.7 | +93% |
| 2025 | $153.7 | $128.4 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $128.4 | $166.2 | +29% |
CVLT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 29% so far in 2026.