AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over CRWV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CRWV

CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock

52
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

CRWV has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CRWV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

CRWV's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CRWV PE Valuation

CRWV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRWV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect CRWV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRWV, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRWV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$101.48
Downside-42%$32.77

Calculated from the latest close: $56.60 on Nov 12.

CRWV trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over CRWV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRWV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $-2.42Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-3.34Q2 2025: $-3.10Q3 2025: $-2.48Q4 2025: $-2.81Q1 2026: $-2.72Q2 2026: $-3.26Q3 2026: $-4.31
Q3 2024: $-2.42Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-3.34Q2 2025: $-3.10Q3 2025: $-2.48Q4 2025: $-2.81Q1 2026: $-2.72Q2 2026: $-3.26Q3 2026: $-4.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$4.31-$1.83
Q2 2026-$3.26-$0.16
Q1 2026-$2.72+$0.62
Q4 2025-$2.81-$0.64
Q3 2025-$2.48-$0.06

CRWV lost $4.31 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $270M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRWV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $584MQ4 2024: $747MQ1 2025: $982MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $584MQ4 2024: $747MQ1 2025: $982MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+168%
Q2 2026$2.6B+112%
Q1 2026$2.1B+112%
Q4 2025$1.6B+110%
Q3 2025$1.4B+134%
Q2 2025$1.2B+207%
Q1 2025$981.6M+420%
Q4 2024$747.4M+544%

CRWV has the edge over AAOI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

CRWV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.1BQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: −$2.4BQ3 2024: −$574MQ4 2024: −$3.3BQ1 2025: −$1.3BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$700MQ4 2025: −$2.5BQ1 2026: −$4.7BQ2 2026: −$5.7BQ3 2026: −$7.5B
Q4 2023: −$1.1BQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: −$2.4BQ3 2024: −$574MQ4 2024: −$3.3BQ1 2025: −$1.3BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$700MQ4 2025: −$2.5BQ1 2026: −$4.7BQ2 2026: −$5.7BQ3 2026: −$7.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.5B-$6.8B
Q2 2026-$5.7B-$3B
Q1 2026-$4.7B-$3.4B
Q4 2025-$2.5B+$810.3M
Q3 2025-$699.8M-$125.8M
Q2 2025-$2.7B-$339.3M
Q1 2025-$1.3B-553%
Q4 2024-$3.3B-$2.2B

CRWV has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

CRWV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 404MQ1 2024: 404MQ2 2024: 404MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 239MQ1 2025: 249MQ2 2025: 487MQ3 2025: 498MQ4 2025: 436MQ1 2026: 527MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 559M
Q4 2023: 404MQ1 2024: 404MQ2 2024: 404MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 239MQ1 2025: 249MQ2 2025: 487MQ3 2025: 498MQ4 2025: 436MQ1 2026: 527MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 559M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+8M shares
1 year+12%+61.1M shares

CRWV has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CRWV Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 19.3xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 5.6xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.6xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2024: 19.3xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 5.6xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.6xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 20267.6xHigh
Q4 20257.6xHigh
Q3 20255.6xHigh
Q2 20256.5xHigh
Q1 20258.4xHigh
Q4 202419.3xHigh

CRWV has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CRWV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.7Neutral
Stochastic11.3Oversold

CRWV's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRWV PE vs Technology Sector

CRWV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus CRWV above 0 of 3.

CRWV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.615% below
20 week MA$77.427% below
50 week MA$87.435% below

CRWV is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 35% below its 50-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over CRWV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CRWV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$40.0$76.4+91%
2026 YTD$76.4$56.6-26%

CRWV has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 26% so far in 2026.

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